Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25710311›Full record

ArticleMedical care2015

The lifetime medical cost savings from preventing HIV in the United States.

Bruce R Schackman, John A Fleishman, Amanda E Su, Bethany K Berkowitz, Richard D Moore, Rochelle P Walensky, Jessica E Becker, Cindy Voss, A David Paltiel, Milton C Weinstein and 3 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Medical care, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 72 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
72citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
7.6field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

72 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 123 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Article
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  10. Estimating Productivity Losses per HIV Infection due to Premature HIV Mortality in the United States.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2026
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  14. Estimating the Economic Consequences of Leveraging the Novel cobas HIV-1/HIV-2 Qualitative Nucleic Acid Amplification Test in Routine HIV Testing.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
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12 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Bruce R Schackman*Department of Healthcare Policy and Research, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, NY †Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, Rockville, MD ‡Division of General Internal Medicine §Medical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA ∥Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD ¶Division of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA #Center for AIDS Research, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA **Division of Infectious Disease, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA ††Department of Health Policy and Management, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT ‡‡Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA §§Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA ∥∥Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA ¶¶Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
John A Fleishman
Amanda E Su
Bethany K Berkowitz
Richard D Moore
Rochelle P Walensky
Jessica E Becker
Cindy Voss
A David Paltiel
Milton C Weinstein
Kenneth A Freedberg
Kelly A Gebo
Elena Losina
Johns Hopkins University · USHarvard University · USMassachusetts General Hospital · USAgency for Healthcare Research and Quality · USGeneral Department of Preventive Medicine · VN

Funding

Vaccine Response and Immunotherapeutics SWGP30AI094189 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Richard E. Chaisson · 2012 to 2026
$67.0M
Cost-effectiveness of preventing HIV complicationsR37AI042006 · NIAID · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI FREEDBERG, KENNETH ALAN · 2006 to 2014
$7.1M
Fostering Research Mentorship & Training during Psychiatry Residency SupplementR25MH094612 · NIMH · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI FAVA, MAURIZIO, GREENFIELD, SHELLY F. · 2011 to 2022
$2.3M
NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI094189NIAID NIH HHS R37 AI042006NIAID NIH HHS R37 AI42006NIMH NIH HHS R25 MH094612PHS HHS HHSA290201100007CPHS HHS HHSH250201200008C
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveEnhanced HIV prevention interventions, such as preexposure prophylaxis for high-risk individuals, require substantial investments. We sought to estimate the medical cost saved by averting 1 HIV infection in the United States.

methodsWe estimated lifetime medical costs in persons with and without HIV to determine the cost saved by preventing 1 HIV infection. We used a computer simulation model of HIV disease and treatment (CEPAC) to project CD4 cell count, antiretroviral treatment status, and mortality after HIV infection. Annual medical cost estimates for HIV-infected persons, adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, and transmission risk group, were from the HIV Research Network (range, $1854-$4545/mo) and for HIV-uninfected persons were from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (range, $73-$628/mo). Results are reported as lifetime medical costs from the US health system perspective discounted at 3% (2012 USD).

resultsThe estimated discounted lifetime cost for persons who become HIV infected at age 35 is $326,500 (60% for antiretroviral medications, 15% for other medications, 25% nondrug costs). For individuals who remain uninfected but at high risk for infection, the discounted lifetime cost estimate is $96,700. The medical cost saved by avoiding 1 HIV infection is $229,800. The cost saved would reach $338,400 if all HIV-infected individuals presented early and remained in care. Cost savings are higher taking into account secondary infections avoided and lower if HIV infections are temporarily delayed rather than permanently avoided.

conclusionsThe economic value of HIV prevention in the United States is substantial given the high cost of HIV disease treatment.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAnti-Retroviral AgentsCD4 Lymphocyte CountComputer SimulationCost SavingsHealth Care CostsHIV InfectionsHumansMiddle AgedModels, EconomicUnited StatesYoung AdultAnti-Retroviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID25710311
PMCPMC4359630
OpenAlexW2049404409

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.