ArticleeLife2015
Effectiveness of traveller screening for emerging pathogens is shaped by epidemiology and natural history of infection.
Article in eLife, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
31 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Exit and Entry Screening Practices for Infectious Diseases among Travelers at Points of Entry: Looking for Evidence on Public Health Impact.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Pooled it
- Good Practices for Managing Acute Respiratory Viral Infections at Aerial Entry Points: A Scoping Review.Journal of epidemiology and global health · 2026Article
- Pre-travel health awareness and perceptions of voluntary airport PCR testing during COVID-19: A cross-sectional study in Okinawa, Japan.IJID regions · 2026Article
- A fundamental limit to the effectiveness of traveller screening with molecular tests.Epidemiology and infection · 2025Article
- Effectiveness of Point of Entry Health Screening Measures among Travelers in the Detection and Containment of the International Spread of COVID-19: A Review of the Evidence.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024Review
- Real-time surveillance of international SARS-CoV-2 prevalence using systematic traveller arrival screening: An observational study.PLoS medicine · 2023Observational
- Evaluating the Impact of the Pandemic Crisis on the Aviation Industry.Transportation research record · 2023Article
- Phased repatriation of Lebanese expatriates stranded abroad during coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2021Article
- Food Safety and Employee Health Implications of COVID-19: A Review.Journal of food protection · 2021Review
- Evolution of an asymptomatic first stage of infection in a heterogeneous population.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2021Article
- Article
- Effectiveness of thermal screening in detection of COVID-19 among truck drivers at Mutukula Land Point of Entry, Uganda.PloS one · 2021Article
- Can You Catch It? Lessons Learned and Modification of ED Triage Symptom- and Travel-Screening Strategy.Journal of emergency nursing · 2020Article
- Will COVID-19 be a litmus test for post-Ebola sub-Saharan Africa?Journal of medical virology · 2020Article
- Strategies for radiology departments in handling the COVID-19 pandemic.Diagnostic and interventional radiology (Ankara, Turkey) · 2020Article
- Impact of self-imposed prevention measures and short-term government-imposed social distancing on mitigating and delaying a COVID-19 epidemic: A modelling study.PLoS medicine · 2020Article
- Recent progress in understanding 2019 novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) associated with human respiratory disease: detection, mechanisms and treatment.International journal of antimicrobial agents · 2020Article
- Challenges of SARS-CoV-2 and lessons learnt from SARS in Guangdong Province, China.Journal of clinical virology : the official publication of the Pan American Society for Clinical Virology · 2020Article
- The 2019 coronavirus: Learning curves, lessons, and the weakest link.International journal of clinical practice · 2020Article
- Estimated effectiveness of symptom and risk screening to prevent the spread of COVID-19.eLife · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
During outbreaks of high-consequence pathogens, airport screening programs have been deployed to curtail geographic spread of infection. The effectiveness of screening depends on several factors, including pathogen natural history and epidemiology, human behavior, and characteristics of the source epidemic. We developed a mathematical model to understand how these factors combine to influence screening outcomes. We analyzed screening programs for six emerging pathogens in the early and late stages of an epidemic. We show that the effectiveness of different screening tools depends strongly on pathogen natural history and epidemiological features, as well as human factors in implementation and compliance. For pathogens with longer incubation periods, exposure risk detection dominates in growing epidemics, while fever becomes a better target in stable or declining epidemics. For pathogens with short incubation, fever screening drives detection in any epidemic stage. However, even in the most optimistic scenario arrival screening will miss the majority of cases.
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.