ArticlePhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2015
Climate influences on the cost-effectiveness of vector-based interventions against malaria in elimination scenarios.
Article in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed, 22 citations in OpenAlex.
- Estimating the effects of temperature on transmission of the human malaria parasite, Plasmodium falciparum.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Arthropod-borne encephalitis: an overview for the clinician and emerging considerations.Postgraduate medical journal · 2023Review
- Humidity - The overlooked variable in the thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease.Ecology letters · 2023Article
- Malaria elimination on Hainan Island despite climate change.Communications medicine · 2022Article
- Challenges and the Path Forward on Malaria Elimination Intervention: A Systematic Review.Iranian journal of public health · 2019Review
- Microgeographical structure in the major Neotropical malaria vector Anopheles darlingi using microsatellites and SNP markers.Parasites & vectors · 2017Article
- Malaria and large dams in sub-Saharan Africa: future impacts in a changing climate.Malaria journal · 2016Article
- The application of evolutionary medicine principles for sustainable malaria control: a scoping study.Malaria journal · 2016Article
- Climate, environmental and socio-economic change: weighing up the balance in vector-borne disease transmission.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2015Review
- Hydroethanolic Extracts ofJournal of evidence-based integrative medicineArticle
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Despite the dependence of mosquito population dynamics on environmental conditions, the associated impact of climate and climate change on present and future malaria remains an area of ongoing debate and uncertainty. Here, we develop a novel integration of mosquito, transmission and economic modelling to assess whether the cost-effectiveness of indoor residual spraying (IRS) and long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) against Plasmodium falciparum transmission by Anopheles gambiae s.s. mosquitoes depends on climatic conditions in low endemicity scenarios. We find that although temperature and rainfall affect the cost-effectiveness of IRS and/or LLIN scale-up, whether this is sufficient to influence policy depends on local endemicity, existing interventions, host immune response to infection and the emergence rate of insecticide resistance. For the scenarios considered, IRS is found to be more cost-effective than LLINs for the same level of scale-up, and both are more cost-effective at lower mean precipitation and higher variability in precipitation and temperature. We also find that the dependence of peak transmission on mean temperature translates into optimal temperatures for vector-based intervention cost-effectiveness. Further cost-effectiveness analysis that accounts for country-specific epidemiological and environmental heterogeneities is required to assess optimal intervention scale-up for elimination and better understand future transmission trends under climate change.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.