Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25688012›Full record

ReviewPhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2015

Climate, environmental and socio-economic change: weighing up the balance in vector-borne disease transmission.

Paul E Parham, Joanna Waldock, George K Christophides, Deborah Hemming, Folashade Agusto, Katherine J Evans, Nina Fefferman, Holly Gaff, Abba Gumel, Shannon LaDeau and 8 more

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 128 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
128citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

128 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. The impact of climate change on neglected tropical diseases: a systematic review.Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene · 2021
    Pooled it
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
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  14. Geospatial analysis ofJournal of parasitic diseases : official organ of the Indian Society for Parasitology · 2025
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Review
  19. Climate Change and Malaria: A Call for Robust Analytics.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  20. Article

68 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Paul E ParhamDepartment of Public Health and Policy, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool L69 3GL, UK Grantham Institute for Climate Change, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Mary's Campus, London W2 1PG, UK paul.parham@liverpool.ac.uk.
Joanna WaldockThe Cyprus Institute, Nicosia, Cyprus Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, UK.
George K ChristophidesImperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, UK.
Deborah HemmingMeteorological Office Hadley Centre, UK Meteorological Office, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK.
Folashade AgustoDepartment of Mathematics, Austin Peay State University, Clarksville, TN 37044, USA.
Katherine J EvansOak Ridge National Laboratory, PO Box 2008, Oak Ridge, TN 37831, USA.
Nina FeffermanDepartment of Ecology, Evolution and Natural Resources, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ 08901, USA.
Holly GaffDepartment of Biological Sciences, Old Dominium University, Norfolk, VA 23529, USA.
Abba GumelSimon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-1904, USA School of Mathematical and Natural Sciences, Arizona State University, Phoenix, AZ 85069-7100, USA.
Shannon LaDeauCary Institute of Ecosystem Studies, PO Box AB, Millbrook, NY 12545-0129, USA.
Suzanne LenhartDepartment of Mathematics, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996-1300, USA.
Ronald E MickensDepartment of Physics, Clark Atlanta University, PO Box 172, Atlanta, GA 30314, USA.
Elena N NaumovaDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Tufts University School of Engineering, Medford, MA 02155, USA.
Richard S OstfeldCary Institute of Ecosystem Studies, PO Box AB, Millbrook, NY 12545-0129, USA.
Paul D ReadyDepartment of Disease Control, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, UK.
Matthew B ThomasDepartment of Entomology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA.
Jorge Velasco-HernandezUniversidad Nacional Autnoma de Mexico Institute of Mathematics Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico.
Edwin MichaelDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556-0369, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Arguably one of the most important effects of climate change is the potential impact on human health. While this is likely to take many forms, the implications for future transmission of vector-borne diseases (VBDs), given their ongoing contribution to global disease burden, are both extremely important and highly uncertain. In part, this is owing not only to data limitations and methodological challenges when integrating climate-driven VBD models and climate change projections, but also, perhaps most crucially, to the multitude of epidemiological, ecological and socio-economic factors that drive VBD transmission, and this complexity has generated considerable debate over the past 10-15 years. In this review, we seek to elucidate current knowledge around this topic, identify key themes and uncertainties, evaluate ongoing challenges and open research questions and, crucially, offer some solutions for the field. Although many of these challenges are ubiquitous across multiple VBDs, more specific issues also arise in different vector-pathogen systems.

Indexed as

ClimateClimate ChangeDisease VectorsAnimalsCommunicable DiseasesHumansSocioeconomic Factorsclimateclimate changehuman healthmodellingvector-borne diseases

Identifiers

PMID25688012
PMCPMC4342957

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.