ArticleScientific reports2015
Carnival or football, is there a real risk for acquiring dengue fever in Brazil during holidays seasons?
Article in Scientific reports, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 8 papers.
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Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed, 27 citations in OpenAlex.
- Article
- Spatial-Temporal Assessment of Environmental Factors Related to Dengue Outbreaks in São Paulo, Brazil.GeoHealth · 2019Article
- Lag effect of climatic variables on dengue burden in India.Epidemiology and infection · 2019Article
- Estimating the prevalence of infectious diseases from under-reported age-dependent compulsorily notification databases.Theoretical biology & medical modelling · 2017Article
- After the epidemic: Zika virus projections for Latin America and the Caribbean.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2017Article
- Dengue burden in India: recent trends and importance of climatic parameters.Emerging microbes & infections · 2017Article
- Integrating Environmental Monitoring and Mosquito Surveillance to Predict Vector-borne Disease: Prospective Forecasts of a West Nile Virus Outbreak.PLoS currents · 2017Article
- Navigating the Zika panic.F1000Research · 2016Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
More than 600,000 football fans, coming from all over the world, were expected to visit Brazil during the FIFA World Cup 2014. International travel can become a public health problem when the visitors start to become sick, needing medical intervention and eventually hospitalization. The occurrence of dengue fever infections in Brazil is persistent and has been increasing since the 1980s, and the health authorities were expected to take preventive measures and to warn the visitors about the risks during the tournament period. Before the World Cup started, studies have been published stating that dengue could be a significant problem in some of the Brazilian cities hosting the games. These conclusions were taken after a brief observation of the available data, analyzing its mean and standard deviation only, or based on seasonal climate forecasts, causing alarm for the world cup in Brazil. Here, with a more careful data analysis, we show that the seasonality of the disease plays a major role in dengue transmission. The density of dengue cases in Brazil is residual during winter in the Southern hemisphere (mid June to mid September) and the fans of football were not likely to get dengue during the tournament period.
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