Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25682314›Full record

ArticleInjury2015

Clinical gestalt and the prediction of massive transfusion after trauma.

Matthew J Pommerening, Michael D Goodman, John B Holcomb, Charles E Wade, Erin E Fox, Deborah J Del Junco, Karen J Brasel, Eileen M Bulger, Mitch J Cohen, Louis H Alarcon and 7 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · greenAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Injury, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04431999 (Evaluation of a Transfusion Therapy Using Whole Blood Versus Fractionated Blood Products in the Management of Coagulopathy in Patients Admitted to Hospital for Acute Traumatic Hemorrhage), which is not on this map. Cited by 52 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
52citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
6.7field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04431999 phase3completednot on this mapstarted 2021, after this paper: background citation

Evaluation of a Transfusion Therapy Using Whole Blood Versus Fractionated Blood Products in the Management of Coagulopathy in Patients Admitted to Hospital for Acute Traumatic Hemorrhage

TypeinterventionalSponsorDirection Centrale du Service de Santé des ArméesRan2021 to 2025Enrolled200ConditionsTrauma, Acute Hemorrhage, CoagulopathyArmsWhole blood transfusion, Fractionated blood products transfusion
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

52 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 129 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Definition of hemodynamic stability in blunt trauma patients: a systematic review and assessment amongst Dutch trauma team members.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2017
    Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Early transfusion strategies in haemorrhagic shock.Scandinavian journal of trauma, resuscitation and emergency medicine · 2026
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. A comparison of clinical prediction scores for massive traumatic hemorrhage.Scandinavian journal of trauma, resuscitation and emergency medicine · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Utility of point of care viscoelastic haemostatic assays for trauma patients in the emergency department.Scandinavian journal of trauma, resuscitation and emergency medicine · 2025
    Observational
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Transfusion in trauma: empiric or guided therapy?Research and practice in thrombosis and haemostasis · 2025
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Matthew J PommereningCenter for Translational Injury Research, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, United States; Division of Acute Care Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, United States. Electronic address: matthew.j.pommerening@uth.tmc.edu.
Michael D GoodmanDivision of Trauma/Critical Care, Department of Surgery, College of Medicine, University of Cincinnati, United States. Electronic address: md-goodman@hotmail.com.
John B HolcombCenter for Translational Injury Research, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, United States; Division of Acute Care Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, United States. Electronic address: john.holcomb@uth.tmc.edu.
Charles E WadeCenter for Translational Injury Research, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, United States; Division of Acute Care Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, United States. Electronic address: charles.e.wade@uth.tmc.edu.
Erin E FoxDivision of Acute Care Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, United States; Biostatistics/Epidemiology/Research Design Core, Center for Clinical and Translational Sciences, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, United States. Electronic address: erin.e.fox@uth.tmc.edu.
Deborah J Del JuncoDivision of Acute Care Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, United States; Biostatistics/Epidemiology/Research Design Core, Center for Clinical and Translational Sciences, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, United States. Electronic address: Deborah.J.DelJunco@uth.tmc.edu.
Karen J BraselDivision of Trauma and Critical Care, Department of Surgery, Medical College of Wisconsin, United States. Electronic address: kbrasel@mcw.edu.
Eileen M BulgerDivision of Trauma and Critical Care, Department of Surgery, School of Medicine, University of Washington, United States. Electronic address: ebulger@u.washington.edu.
Mitch J CohenDivision of General Surgery, Department of Surgery, School of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, United States. Electronic address: mcohen@sfghsurg.ucsf.edu.
Louis H AlarconDivision of Trauma and General Surgery, Department of Surgery, School of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, United States. Electronic address: alarconl@upmc.edu.
Martin A SchreiberDivision of Trauma, Critical Care and Acute Care Surgery, School of Medicine, Oregon Health & Science University, United States. Electronic address: schreibm@ohsu.edu.
John G MyersDivision of Trauma, Department of Surgery, School of Medicine, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, United States. Electronic address: myersjg@uthscsa.edu.
Herb A PhelanDivision of Burn/Trauma/Critical Care, Department of Surgery, Medical School, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas, United States. Electronic address: Herb.Phelan@UTSouthwestern.edu.
Peter MuskatDivision of Trauma/Critical Care, Department of Surgery, College of Medicine, University of Cincinnati, United States.
Mohammad RahbarDivision of Acute Care Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, United States; Division of Epidemiology, Human Genetics and Environmental Sciences, School of Public Health, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, United States.
Bryan A CottonCenter for Translational Injury Research, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, United States; Division of Acute Care Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, United States. Electronic address: Bryan.A.Cotton@uth.tmc.edu.
MPH on behalf of the PROMMTT Study Group
The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston · USMedical College of Wisconsin · USThe University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center · US

Funding

U OF TEXAS HLTH SCI CTR HOUSTON CENTER FOR CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCESUL1RR024148 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCI CTR HOUSTON · PI MCPHERSON, DAVID D · 2006 to 2010
$27.9M
NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024148
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionEarly recognition and treatment of trauma patients requiring massive transfusion (MT) has been shown to reduce mortality. While many risk factors predicting MT have been demonstrated, there is no universally accepted method or algorithm to identify these patients. We hypothesised that even among experienced trauma surgeons, the clinical gestalt of identifying patients who will require MT is unreliable.

methodsTransfusion and mortality outcomes after trauma were observed at 10 U.S. Level-1 trauma centres in patients who survived ≥ 30 min after admission and received ≥ 1 unit of RBC within 6h of arrival. Subjects who received ≥ 10 units within 24h of admission were classified as MT patients. Trauma surgeons were asked the clinical gestalt question "Is the patient likely to be massively transfused?" 10 min after the patients arrival. The performance of clinical gestalt to predict MT was assessed using chi-square tests and ROC analysis to compare gestalt to previously described scoring systems.

resultsOf the 1245 patients enrolled, 966 met inclusion criteria and 221 (23%) patients received MT. 415 (43%) were predicted to have a MT and 551(57%) were predicted to not have MT. Patients predicted to have MT were younger, more often sustained penetrating trauma, had higher ISS scores, higher heart rates, and lower systolic blood pressures (all p<0.05). Gestalt sensitivity was 65.6% and specificity was 63.8%. PPV and NPV were 34.9% and 86.2% respectively.

conclusionData from this large multicenter trial demonstrates that predicting the need for MT continues to be a challenge. Because of the increased mortality associated with delayed therapy, a more reliable algorithm is needed to identify and treat these severely injured patients earlier.

Indexed as

AdultBlood TransfusionExsanguinationFemaleGestalt TheoryHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsProspective StudiesReproducibility of ResultsRisk AssessmentSeverity of Illness IndexTime FactorsTrauma CentersWounds and InjuriesGestaltMassive transfusionTrauma

Identifiers

PMID25682314
PMCPMC4800814
OpenAlexW2018525094

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.