Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25651366›Full record

ArticleKidney international2015

Development and validation of a predictive mortality risk score from a European hemodialysis cohort.

Jürgen Floege, Iain A Gillespie, Florian Kronenberg, Stefan D Anker, Ioanna Gioni, Sharon Richards, Ronald L Pisoni, Bruce M Robinson, Daniele Marcelli, Marc Froissart and 1 more

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Kidney international, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 84 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
84citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

84 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Guideline
  3. Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Trial
  6. Trial
  7. Trial
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review

24 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Jürgen FloegeNephrology, RWTH University of Aachen, Aachen, Germany.
Iain A GillespieCenter for Observational Research (CfOR), Amgen Ltd, Uxbridge, UK.
Florian KronenbergDivision of Genetic Epidemiology, Department of Medical Genetics, Molecular and Clinical Pharmacology, Medical University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria.
Stefan D AnkerDepartment of Innovative Clinical Trials, University Medical Centre Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany.
Ioanna GioniOn behalf of Amgen Ltd, Uxbridge, UK.
Sharon RichardsGlobal Biostatistics, Amgen Ltd, Uxbridge, UK.
Ronald L PisoniArbor Research Collaborative for Health, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Bruce M RobinsonArbor Research Collaborative for Health, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Daniele MarcelliEMEALA Medical Board, Fresenius Medical Care, Bad Homburg, Germany.
Marc FroissartInternational Development Nephrology, Amgen Europe GmbH, Zug, Switzerland.
Kai-Uwe EckardtNephrology and Hypertension, University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Erlangen, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Although mortality risk scores for chronic hemodialysis (HD) patients should have an important role in clinical decision-making, those currently available have limited applicability, robustness, and generalizability. Here we applied a modified Framingham Heart Study approach to derive 1- and 2-year all-cause mortality risk scores using a 11,508 European incident HD patient database (AROii) recruited between 2007 and 2009. This scoring model was validated externally using similar-sized Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Survey (DOPPS) data. For AROii, the observed 1- and 2-year mortality rates were 13.0 (95% confidence interval (CI; 12.3-13.8)) and 11.2 (10.4-12.1)/100 patient years, respectively. Increasing age, low body mass index, history of cardiovascular disease or cancer, and use of a vascular access catheter during baseline were consistent predictors of mortality. Among baseline laboratory markers, hemoglobin, ferritin, C-reactive protein, serum albumin, and creatinine predicted death within 1 and 2 years. When applied to the DOPPS population, the predictive risk score models were highly discriminatory, and generalizability remained high when restricted by incidence/prevalence and geographic location (C-statistics 0.68-0.79). This new model offers improved predictive power over age/comorbidity-based models and also predicted early mortality (C-statistic 0.71). Our new model delivers a robust and reproducible mortality risk score, based on readily available clinical and laboratory data.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesEuropeFemaleHumansKidney Failure, ChronicMaleMiddle AgedRenal DialysisRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID25651366
PMCPMC4424813

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.