Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25649757›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2015

Risk sensitivity as an evolutionary adaptation.

Arend Hintze, Randal S Olson, Christoph Adami, Ralph Hertwig

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 71 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Toward a productive evolutionary understanding of music.The Behavioral and brain sciences · 2021
    Article
  12. Article
  13. The adaptive value of probability distortion and risk-seeking in macaques' decision-making.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2021
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Arend Hintze1] Department of Microbiology and Molecular Genetics [2] BEACON Center for the Study of Evolution in Action Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA.
Randal S Olson1] Department of Computer Science and Engineering [2] BEACON Center for the Study of Evolution in Action Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA.
Christoph Adami1] Department of Microbiology and Molecular Genetics [2] BEACON Center for the Study of Evolution in Action Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA.
Ralph HertwigCenter for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin, Germany.
Laboratory of Molecular Genetics · PLMax Planck Institute for Human Development · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Risk aversion is a common behavior universal to humans and animals alike. Economists have traditionally defined risk preferences by the curvature of the utility function. Psychologists and behavioral economists also make use of concepts such as loss aversion and probability weighting to model risk aversion. Neurophysiological evidence suggests that loss aversion has its origins in relatively ancient neural circuitries (e.g., ventral striatum). Could there thus be an evolutionary origin to risk aversion? We study this question by evolving strategies that adapt to play the equivalent mean payoff gamble. We hypothesize that risk aversion in this gamble is beneficial as an adaptation to living in small groups, and find that a preference for risk averse strategies only evolves in small populations of less than 1,000 individuals, or in populations segmented into groups of 150 individuals or fewer - numbers thought to be comparable to what humans encountered in the past. We observe that risk aversion only evolves when the gamble is a rare event that has a large impact on the individual's fitness. As such, we suggest that rare, high-risk, high-payoff events such as mating and mate competition could have driven the evolution of risk averse behavior in humans living in small groups.

Indexed as

Adaptation, PhysiologicalBiological EvolutionDecision MakingRiskAnimalsHumansModels, Theoretical

Identifiers

PMID25649757
PMCPMC4648446
OpenAlexW2055754517

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-SA
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.