Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25636656›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of urology2015

The Next Generation of Clinical Decision Making Tools: Development of a Real-Time Prediction Tool for Outcome of Prostate Biopsy in Response to a Continuously Evolving Prostate Cancer Landscape.

Andreas N Strobl, Ian M Thompson, Andrew J Vickers, Donna P Ankerst

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of urology, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Next-generation prostate cancer risk calculator for primary care physicians.Canadian Urological Association journal = Journal de l'Association des urologues du Canada · 2018
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Andreas N StroblDepartment of Mathematics, Technical University Munich, Munich, Germany. Electronic address: a.strobl@tum.de.
Ian M ThompsonDepartment of Urology, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, Texas.
Andrew J VickersMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Donna P AnkerstDepartment of Mathematics, Technical University Munich, Munich, Germany; Department of Urology, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, Texas; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, Texas.

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Nicholas D Socci · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
SPORE In Prostate CancerP50CA092629 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Yu Chen, MICHAEL J MORRIS · 2001 to 2026
$63.0M
SAN ANTONIO CENTER OF BIOMARKERS OF RISK FOR PROSTATE CAU01CA086402 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCIENCE CENTER · PI LEACH, ROBIN JEAN, THOMPSON, IAN M. · 2000 to 2018
$33.1M
Oxidative Damage and DNA Repair in the PCPTP01CA108964 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI THOMPSON, IAN M · 2005 to 2009
$13.6M
PCPT and SELECT cohorts: Core Infrastructure Support for Cancer Research UM1CA182883 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI TANGEN, CATHERINE M., THOMPSON, IAN M. · 2013 to 2017
$5.2M
Dynamic, multi-cohort prediction modeling of prostate biopsy outcomeR01CA179115 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI ANKERST, DONNA PAULER, VICKERS, ANDREW J · 2014 to 2018
$2.3M
NCI NIH HHS 1R01CA179115-01A1NCI NIH HHS 5P30 CA0541474-19NCI NIH HHS P01 CA108964NCI NIH HHS P01 CA108964-06NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS P30-CA008748NCI NIH HHS P50 CA092629NCI NIH HHS P50-CA92629NCI NIH HHS R01 CA179115NCI NIH HHS U01 CA086402NCI NIH HHS U01CA86402NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA182883
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeWe evaluate whether annual updating of the PCPT Risk Calculator would improve institutional validation compared to static use of the PCPT Risk Calculator alone. MATERIALS AND

methodsData from 5 international cohorts including SABOR, Cleveland Clinic, ProtecT, Tyrol and Durham VA, comprising 18,400 biopsies, were used to evaluate an institution specific annual recalibration of the PCPT Risk Calculator. Using all prior years as a training set and the current year as the test set, annual recalibrations of the PCPT Risk Calculator were compared to static use of the PCPT Risk Calculator in terms of AUC and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit statistic.

resultsFor predicting high grade disease the median AUC (higher is better) of the recalibrated PCPT Risk Calculator (static PCPT Risk Calculator) across all test years for the 5 cohorts was 67.3 (67.5), 65.0 (60.4), 73.4 (73.4), 73.9 (74.1) and 69.6 (67.2), respectively, and median Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit statistics indicated better fit for recalibration compared to the static PCPT Risk Calculator for Cleveland Clinic, ProtecT and the Durham VA but not for SABOR and Tyrol. For predicting overall cancer median AUC was 63.5 (62.7), 61.0 (57.3), 62.1 (62.5), 66.9 (67.3) and 68.5 (65.5), respectively, and median Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit statistics indicated a better fit for recalibration in all cohorts except for Tyrol.

conclusionsA simple method has been provided to tailor the PCPT Risk Calculator to individual hospitals to optimize its accuracy for the patient population at hand.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesBiopsyCohort StudiesComputer SystemsHumansMaleProstateProstatic NeoplasmsRisk AssessmentTime Factorsbiopsydigital rectal examinationprostateprostate-specific antigenrisk assessment

Identifiers

PMID25636656
PMCPMC4475467

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.