Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25619401›Full record

ArticleThe New phytologist2015

Revisiting the origin and diversification of vascular plants through a comprehensive Bayesian analysis of the fossil record.

Daniele Silvestro, Borja Cascales-Miñana, Christine D Bacon, Alexandre Antonelli

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The New phytologist, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 59 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
59citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

59 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  4. Review
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  7. Frontiers in plant science · 2026
    Review
  8. Review
  9. The stepwise rise of angiosperm-dominated terrestrial ecosystems.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2025
    Review
  10. Evolutionary implications of a deep-time perspective on insect pollination.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2025
    Review
  11. Article
  12. The fate of South America's endemic mammalian fauna in response to the most dramatic Cenozoic climate disruption.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. The Angiosperm Terrestrial Revolution buffered ants against extinction.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Daniele SilvestroDepartment of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Carl Skottsbergs gata 22B, SE-413 19, Göteborg, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0100-0961
Borja Cascales-MiñanaCNRS, UMR Botanique et Bioinformatique de l'Architecture des Plantes (AMAP), Montpellier, F-34000, France.
Christine D BaconDepartment of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Carl Skottsbergs gata 22B, SE-413 19, Göteborg, Sweden.
Alexandre AntonelliDepartment of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Carl Skottsbergs gata 22B, SE-413 19, Göteborg, Sweden.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Plants have a long evolutionary history, during which mass extinction events dramatically affected Earth's ecosystems and its biodiversity. The fossil record can shed light on the diversification dynamics of plant life and reveal how changes in the origination-extinction balance have contributed to shaping the current flora. We use a novel Bayesian approach to estimate origination and extinction rates in plants throughout their history. We focus on the effect of the 'Big Five' mass extinctions and on estimating the timing of origin of vascular plants, seed plants and angiosperms. Our analyses show that plant diversification is characterized by several shifts in origination and extinction rates, often matching the most important geological boundaries. The estimated origin of major plant clades predates the oldest macrofossils when considering the uncertainties associated with the fossil record and the preservation process. Our findings show that the commonly recognized mass extinctions have affected each plant group differently and that phases of high extinction often coincided with major floral turnovers. For instance, after the Cretaceous-Paleogene boundary we infer negligible shifts in diversification of nonflowering seed plants, but find significantly decreased extinction in spore-bearing plants and increased origination rates in angiosperms, contributing to their current ecological and evolutionary dominance.

Indexed as

BiodiversityBiological EvolutionExtinction, BiologicalFossilsPhylogenyBayes TheoremFlowersGeological PhenomenaMagnoliopsidaPlantsSporesbiodiversity changesdiversificationfloristic turnovermass extinctionplant fossilsPyRate

Identifiers

PMID25619401
PMCPMC4949670

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.