Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25616135›Full record

ArticlePloS one2015

Estimating the cost-effectiveness of pre-exposure prophylaxis to reduce HIV-1 and HSV-2 incidence in HIV-serodiscordant couples in South Africa.

Britta L Jewell, Ide Cremin, Michael Pickles, Connie Celum, Jared M Baeten, Sinead Delany-Moretlwe, Timothy B Hallett

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Britta L JewellDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Ide CreminDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Michael PicklesDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Connie CelumDepartments of Global Health, Medicine and Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Jared M BaetenDepartments of Global Health, Medicine and Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Sinead Delany-MoretlweWits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Timothy B HallettDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Imperial College London · GBUniversity of Washington · USUniversity of the Witwatersrand · ZA

Funding

Optimizing Antiretroviral-Based HIV Prevention for HIV Serodiscordant CouplesR01MH095507 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI BAETEN, JARED · 2011 to 2020
$6.1M
Medical Research Council MR/K010174/1NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH095507NIMH NIH HHS R01MH095507
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate the cost-effectiveness of daily oral tenofovir-based PrEP, with a protective effect against HSV-2 as well as HIV-1, among HIV-1 serodiscordant couples in South Africa.

methodsWe incorporated HSV-2 acquisition, transmission, and interaction with HIV-1 into a microsimulation model of heterosexual HIV-1 serodiscordant couples in South Africa, with use of PrEP for the HIV-1 uninfected partner prior to ART initiation for the HIV-1 1infected partner, and for one year thereafter.

resultsWe estimate the cost per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) averted for two scenarios, one in which PrEP has no effect on reducing HSV-2 acquisition, and one in which there is a 33% reduction. After a twenty-year intervention, the cost per DALY averted is estimated to be $10,383 and $9,757, respectively--a 6% reduction, given the additional benefit of reduced HSV-2 acquisition. If all couples are discordant for both HIV-1 and HSV-2, the cost per DALY averted falls to $1,445, which shows that the impact is limited by HSV-2 concordance in couples.

conclusionAfter a 20-year PrEP intervention, the cost per DALY averted with a reduction in HSV-2 is estimated to be modestly lower than without any effect, providing an increase of health benefits in addition to HIV-1 prevention at no extra cost. The small degree of the effect is in part due to a high prevalence of HSV-2 infection in HIV-1 serodiscordant couples in South Africa.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisHIV SeroprevalenceAdenineAnti-HIV AgentsCouples TherapyFamily CharacteristicsFemaleHIV-1HIV-2HIV SeropositivityHumansMaleOrganophosphonatesPre-Exposure ProphylaxisSouth AfricaTenofovirAdenineAnti-HIV AgentsOrganophosphonatesTenofovir

Identifiers

PMID25616135
PMCPMC4304839
OpenAlexW2021682988

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.