Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25609324›Full record

ArticleThe journal of allergy and clinical immunology. In practice

Development and internal validation of a pediatric acute asthma prediction rule for hospitalization.

Donald H Arnold, Tebeb Gebretsadik, Karel G M Moons, Frank E Harrell, Tina V Hartert

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. In practice. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 26% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Defining Treatment Response for Clinical Trials of Pediatric Acute Asthma.The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. In practice · 2023
    Article
  5. Observational
  6. Management of Children with Acute Asthma Attack: A RAND/UCLA Appropriateness Approach.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Emergency department treatment of asthma in children: A review.Journal of the American College of Emergency Physicians open · 2020
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. The asthma prediction rule to decrease hospitalizations for children with asthma.Current opinion in allergy and clinical immunology · 2016
    Review
  15. Pulse Oximeter Plethysmograph Estimate of Pulsus Paradoxus as a Measure of Acute Asthma Exacerbation Severity and Response to Treatment.Academic emergency medicine : official journal of the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine · 2016
    Observational
  16. Acute Asthma Intensity Research Score: updated performance characteristics for prediction of hospitalization and lung function.Annals of allergy, asthma & immunology : official publication of the American College of Allergy, Asthma, & Immunology · 2015
    Article
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 2 countries.

Donald H ArnoldDepartments of Pediatrics and Emergency Medicine, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tenn; Center for Asthma & Environmental Sciences Research, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tenn. Electronic address: don.arnold@vanderbilt.edu.
Tebeb GebretsadikDepartment of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tenn; Center for Asthma & Environmental Sciences Research, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tenn.
Karel G M MoonsDepartment of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tenn; Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Frank E HarrellDepartment of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tenn.
Tina V HartertDivision of Allergy, Pulmonary, and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tenn; Center for Asthma & Environmental Sciences Research, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tenn.
Vanderbilt University · US

Funding

VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY CTSA FOR PEDIATRIC RESEARCHUL1RR024975 · NCRR · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI BERNARD, GORDON RAPHAEL · 2007 to 2011
$45.7M
Midcareer Investigator Patient-oriented Research Award in Bronchiolitis & AsthmaK24AI077930 · NIAID · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI HARTERT, TINA V · 2008 to 2017
$1.6M
Development of a Pediatric Acute Asthma Prediction Rule for severity and outcomeK23HL080005 · NHLBI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI ARNOLD, DONALD HAYES · 2008 to 2012
$738k
NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024975NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL080005NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL80005NIAID NIH HHS K24 AI077930NIAID NIH HHS K24 AI77930
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundClinicians have difficulty predicting need for hospitalization of children with acute asthma exacerbations.

objectiveThe objective of this study was to develop and internally validate a multivariable asthma prediction rule (APR) to inform hospitalization decision making in children aged 5-17 years with acute asthma exacerbations.

methodsBetween April 2008 and February 2013 we enrolled a prospective cohort of patients aged 5-17 years with asthma who presented to our pediatric emergency department with acute exacerbations. Predictors for APR modeling included 15 demographic characteristics, asthma chronic control measures, and pulmonary examination findings in participants at the time of triage and before treatment. The primary outcome variable for APR modeling was need for hospitalization (length of stay >24 h for those admitted to hospital or relapse for those discharged). A secondary outcome was the hospitalization decision of the clinical team. We used penalized maximum likelihood multiple logistic regression modeling to examine the adjusted association of each predictor variable with the outcome. Backward step-down variable selection techniques were used to yield reduced-form models.

resultsData from 928 of 933 participants were used for prediction rule modeling, with median [interquartile range] age 8.8 [6.9, 11.2] years, 61% male, and 59% African-American race. Both full (penalized) and reduced-form models for each outcome calibrated well, with bootstrap-corrected c-indices of 0.74 and 0.73 for need for hospitalization and 0.81 in each case for hospitalization decision.

conclusionThe APR predicts the need for hospitalization of children with acute asthma exacerbations using predictor variables available at the time of presentation to an emergency department.

Indexed as

Acute DiseaseAdolescentAsthmaChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHospitalizationHumansMaleModels, TheoreticalRegression AnalysisReproducibility of ResultsSeverity of Illness IndexClinical prediction ruleHospitalizationPediatric acute asthma exacerbations

Identifiers

PMID25609324
PMCPMC4355052
OpenAlexW2052575950

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.