Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25586869›Full record

Observational studyJournal of general internal medicine2015

Predicting Non-Adherence with Outpatient Colonoscopy Using a Novel Electronic Tool that Measures Prior Non-Adherence.

Daniel M Blumenthal, Gaurav Singal, Shikha S Mangla, Eric A Macklin, Daniel C Chung

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Journal of general internal medicine, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Precision Patient Navigation to Improve Rates of Follow-up Colonoscopy, An Individual Randomized Effectiveness Trial.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2021
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  20. Social Disadvantage, Healthcare Utilization, and Colorectal Cancer Screening: Leveraging Longitudinal Patient Address and Health Records Data.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2018
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Daniel M BlumenthalDepartment of Internal Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Gaurav Singal
Shikha S Mangla
Eric A Macklin
Daniel C Chung

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurately predicting the risk of no-show for a scheduled colonoscopy can help target interventions to improve compliance with colonoscopy, and thereby reduce the disease burden of colorectal cancer and enhance the utilization of resources within endoscopy units.

objectivesWe aimed to utilize information available in an electronic medical record (EMR) and endoscopy scheduling system to create a predictive model for no-show risk, and to simultaneously evaluate the role for natural language processing (NLP) in developing such a model.

designThis was a retrospective observational study using discovery and validation phases to design a colonoscopy non-adherence prediction model. An NLP-derived variable called the Non-Adherence Ratio ("NAR") was developed, validated, and included in the model.

participantsPatients scheduled for outpatient colonoscopy at an Academic Medical Center (AMC) that is part of a multi-hospital health system, 2009 to 2011, were included in the study. MAIN MEASURES: Odds ratios for non-adherence were calculated for all variables in the discovery cohort, and an Area Under the Receiver Operating Curve (AUC) was calculated for the final non-adherence prediction model. KEY

resultsThe non-adherence model included six variables: 1) gender; 2) history of psychiatric illness, 3) NAR; 4) wait time in months; 5) number of prior missed endoscopies; and 6) education level. The model achieved discrimination in the validation cohort (AUC= =70.2 %). At a threshold non-adherence score of 0.46, the model's sensitivity and specificity were 33 % and 92 %, respectively. Removing the NAR from the model significantly reduced its predictive power (AUC = 64.3 %, difference = 5.9 %, p < 0.001).

conclusionsA six-variable model using readily available clinical and demographic information demonstrated accuracy for predicting colonoscopy non-adherence. The NAR, a novel variable developed using NLP technology, significantly strengthened this model's predictive power.

Indexed as

Electronic Health RecordsPatient ComplianceColonoscopyFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalNatural Language ProcessingRetrospective Studies

Identifiers

PMID25586869
PMCPMC4441666

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.