Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25576282›Full record

ArticleAmbio2015

Change in spring arrival of migratory birds under an era of climate change, Swedish data from the last 140 years.

Cecilia Kullberg, Thord Fransson, Johanna Hedlund, Niclas Jonzén, Ola Langvall, Johan Nilsson, Kjell Bolmgren

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ambio, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Structure and function of the avian respiratory system.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Cecilia KullbergDepartment of Zoology, Stockholm University, 106 91, Stockholm, Sweden, cecilia.kullberg@zoologi.su.se.
Thord Fransson
Johanna Hedlund
Niclas Jonzén
Ola Langvall
Johan Nilsson
Kjell Bolmgren

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Many migratory bird species have advanced their spring arrival during the latest decades, most probably due to climate change. However, studies on migratory phenology in the period before recent global warming are scarce. We have analyzed a historical dataset (1873-1917) of spring arrival to southern and central Sweden of 14 migratory bird species. In addition, we have used relative differences between historical and present-day observations (1984-2013) to evaluate the effect of latitude and migratory strategy on day of arrival over time. There was a larger change in spring phenology in short-distance migrants than in long-distance migrants. Interestingly, the results further suggest that climate change has affected the phenology of short-distance migrants more in southern than in central Sweden. The results suggest that the much earlier calculated arrival to southern Sweden among short-distance migrants mirrors a change in location of wintering areas, hence, connecting migration phenology and wintering range shifts.

Indexed as

Animal MigrationClimate ChangeAnimalsBirdsSweden

Identifiers

PMID25576282
PMCPMC4289004

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.