Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25575031›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)2015

Geographical variation in dementia: examining the role of environmental factors in Sweden and Scotland.

Tom C Russ, Margaret Gatz, Nancy L Pedersen, Jean Hannah, Grant Wyper, G David Batty, Ian J Deary, John M Starr

Abstract readTwin Study
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Tom C RussFrom the aAlzheimer Scotland Dementia Research Centre, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom; bScottish Dementia Clinical Research Network, NHS Scotland, Edinburgh, United Kingdom; cCentre for Cognitive Ageing & Cognitive Epidemiology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom; dDivision of Psychiatry, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom; eDepartment of Psychology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA; fDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; gGreater Glasgow & Clyde Nursing Homes Medical Practice, NHS Greater Glasgow & Clyde, Glasgow, United Kingdom; hPublic Health and Intelligence, NHS National Services Scotland, Edinburgh, United Kingdom; and iDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, UCL, London, United Kingdom.
Margaret Gatz
Nancy L Pedersen
Jean Hannah
Grant Wyper
G David Batty
Ian J Deary
John M Starr

Funding

DEMENTIA IN TWINSR01AG008724 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI GATZ, MARGARET · 1990 to 2002
$1.4M
Dementia in Swedish Twins Data ArchivingR03AG031262 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI GATZ, MARGARET · 2008 to 2008
$72k
Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research CouncilMedical Research Council G0700704Medical Research Council MR/K026992/1NIA NIH HHS R01 AG008724NIA NIH HHS R01 AG 08724NIA NIH HHS R03 AG031262
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study aimed to estimate the magnitude of geographical variation in dementia rates and suggest explanations for this variation. Small-area studies are scarce, and none has adequately investigated the relative contribution of genetic and environmental factors to the distribution of dementia.

methodsWe present 2 complementary small-area hierarchical Bayesian disease-mapping studies using the comprehensive Swedish Twin Registry (n = 27,680) and the 1932 Scottish Mental Survey cohort (n = 37,597). The twin study allowed us to examine the effect of unshared environmental factors. The Scottish Mental Survey study allowed us to examine various epochs in the life course-approximately age 11 years and adulthood.

resultsWe found a 2- to 3-fold geographical variation in dementia odds in Sweden, after twin random effects-likely to capture genetic and shared environmental variance-were removed. In Scotland, we found no variation in dementia odds in childhood but substantial variation, following a broadly similar pattern to Sweden, by adulthood.

conclusionsThere is geographical variation in dementia rates. Most of this variation is likely to result from unshared environmental factors that have their effect in adolescence or later. Further work is required to confirm these findings and identify any potentially modifiable socioenvironmental risk factors for dementia responsible for this geographical variation in risk. However, if these factors do exist and could be optimized in the whole population, our results suggest that dementia rates could be halved.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overBayes TheoremChildCohort StudiesDementiaDiseases in TwinsEnvironmentFemaleGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseHealth SurveysHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle Aged

Identifiers

PMID25575031
PMCPMC4467562

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.