ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2015
Burden of disease measured by disability-adjusted life years and a disease forecasting time series model of scrub typhus in Laiwu, China.
Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
24 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 43 citations in OpenAlex.
- Global and regional seroprevalence, incidence, mortality of, and risk factors for scrub typhus: A systematic review and meta-analysis.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2024Pooled it
- Scrub typhus ecology: a systematic review of Orientia in vectors and hosts.Parasites & vectors · 2019Pooled it
- Estimating the burden of scrub typhus: A systematic review.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2017Pooled it
- Clinical and laboratory factors associated with scrub typhus and hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Southwestern Korea: A cross-sectional study.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- Racial and Gender Discrimination When Tailoring Medical Management to Hypertension Treatment in Latin America.American journal of hypertension · 2025Review
- Meteorological factors and normalized difference vegetation index drivers of scrub typhus incidence in Shandong Province based on a 16-year time-frequency analysis.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Cavitary pulmonary tuberculosis withFrontiers in medicine · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal heterogeneity and long-term impact of meteorological, environmental, and socio-economic factors on scrub typhus in China from 2006 to 2018.BMC public health · 2024Article
- Twenty years of integrated disease surveillance and response in Sub-Saharan Africa: challenges and opportunities for effective management of infectious disease epidemics.One health outlook · 2021Review
- Ending the Neglect of Treatable Bacterial Zoonoses Responsible for Non-Malaria Fevers.The Yale journal of biology and medicine · 2021Review
- Spatial distribution and determinants of health loss from Kashin-Beck disease in Bin County, Shaanxi Province, China.BMC public health · 2021Article
- Forecasting the incidence of mumps in Chongqing based on a SARIMA model.BMC public health · 2021Article
- Assessing the Health Loss from Kashin-Beck Disease and Its Relationship with Environmental Selenium in Qamdo District of Tibet, China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- SARFIMA model prediction for infectious diseases: application to hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome and comparing with SARIMA.BMC medical research methodology · 2020Article
- Forecasting the incidence of acute haemorrhagic conjunctivitis in Chongqing: a time series analysis.Epidemiology and infection · 2020Article
- Trends in burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Iran, 1995-2015: findings from the global burden of disease study.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2020Article
- Invasive plants facilitated by socioeconomic change harbor vectors of scrub typhus and spotted fever.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2020Article
- The scrub typhus in mainland China: spatiotemporal expansion and risk prediction underpinned by complex factors.Emerging microbes & infections · 2019Article
- A review of the global epidemiology of scrub typhus.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2017Review
- Forecasting the Incidence of Mumps in Zibo City Based on a SARIMA Model.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2017Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundLaiwu District is recognized as a hyper-endemic region for scrub typhus in Shandong Province, but the seriousness of this problem has been neglected in public health circles. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL
findingsA disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) approach was adopted to measure the burden of scrub typhus in Laiwu, China during the period 2006 to 2012. A multiple seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model (SARIMA) was used to identify the most suitable forecasting model for scrub typhus in Laiwu. Results showed that the disease burden of scrub typhus is increasing yearly in Laiwu, and which is higher in females than males. For both females and males, DALY rates were highest for the 60-69 age group. Of all the SARIMA models tested, the SARIMA(2,1,0)(0,1,0)12 model was the best fit for scrub typhus cases in Laiwu. Human infections occurred mainly in autumn with peaks in October. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Females, especially those of 60 to 69 years of age, were at highest risk of developing scrub typhus in Laiwu, China. The SARIMA (2,1,0)(0,1,0)12 model was the best fit forecasting model for scrub typhus in Laiwu, China. These data are useful for developing public health education and intervention programs to reduce disease.
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