Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25568346›Full record

ArticleMolecular biology and evolution2015

Rates of vaccine evolution show strong effects of latency: implications for varicella zoster virus epidemiology.

Lucy A Weinert, Daniel P Depledge, Samit Kundu, Anne A Gershon, Richard A Nichols, Francois Balloux, John J Welch, Judith Breuer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Molecular biology and evolution, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Varicella zoster virus and the central nervous system.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. An Adagio for Viruses, Played Out on Ancient DNA.Genome biology and evolution · 2023
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Towards a multi-level and a multi-disciplinary approach to DNA oncovirus virulence.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2019
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Lucy A WeinertDepartment of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom Department of Genetics, Evolution and Environment, UCL, London, United Kingdom lucy.weinert@gmail.com.
Daniel P DepledgeDivision of Infection and Immunity, MRC Centre for Medical Molecular Virology, UCL, London, United Kingdom.
Samit KunduDivision of Infection and Immunity, MRC Centre for Medical Molecular Virology, UCL, London, United Kingdom.
Anne A GershonDivision of Infectious Disease, Columbia University Medical Centre, New York, USA.
Richard A NicholsSchool of Biological and Chemical Sciences, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom.
Francois BallouxDepartment of Genetics, Evolution and Environment, UCL, London, United Kingdom.
John J WelchDepartment of Genetics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Judith BreuerDivision of Infection and Immunity, MRC Centre for Medical Molecular Virology, UCL, London, United Kingdom.

Funding

European Research Council 260801Medical Research Council G0700814Medical Research Council G0900950MRF_ C0485
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Varicella-zoster virus (VZV) causes chickenpox and shingles, and is found in human populations worldwide. The lack of temporal signal in the diversity of VZV makes substitution rate estimates unreliable, which is a barrier to understanding the context of its global spread. Here, we estimate rates of evolution by studying live attenuated vaccines, which evolved in 22 vaccinated patients for known periods of time, sometimes, but not always undergoing latency. We show that the attenuated virus evolves rapidly (∼ 10(-6) substitutions/site/day), but that rates decrease dramatically when the virus undergoes latency. These data are best explained by a model in which viral populations evolve for around 13 days before becoming latent, but then undergo no replication during latency. This implies that rates of viral evolution will depend strongly on transmission patterns. Nevertheless, we show that implausibly long latency periods are required to date the most recent common ancestor of extant VZV to an "out-of-Africa" migration with humans, as has been previously suggested.

Indexed as

Evolution, MolecularBase SequenceChickenpoxChickenpox VaccineChildHerpesvirus 3, HumanHerpes ZosterHumansMolecular Sequence DataVaccines, AttenuatedVirus LatencyChickenpox VaccineVaccines, Attenuatedmolecular datingwhole-genome sequencingwithin-patient evolution

Identifiers

PMID25568346
PMCPMC4379407

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.