ArticleEvolutionary applications2008
Adaptation, migration or extirpation: climate change outcomes for tree populations.
Article in Evolutionary applications, 2008. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 446 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
446 citing papers in PubMed, 2,153 citations in OpenAlex.
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- Forest Densification and Pollution Rival Climate in Driving US Tree Demographic Change.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Dissecting the genetic basis of climatic adaptation in wild relatives (Malus baccata) for climate-resilient apple breeding.Journal of integrative plant biology · 2026Article
- Genomic Vulnerability of a Threatened Possum in a Biodiversity and Climate Change Hotspot.Molecular ecology · 2026Article
- Assessing Future Maladaptation Risk in the Keystone SpeciesEvolutionary applications · 2026Article
- Variation among populations of Quercus macrocarpa in a reciprocal transplant experiment across a latitudinal gradient.Ecology · 2026Article
- The paradoxical extinction: Exploring signatures of assortative mating as a possible mechanism that maintains canonical Red Wolf genetic ancestry in the American Gulf Coast canids.The Journal of heredity · 2026Article
- Selection for fewer, water- and carbon-conservative needles in black spruce trees under warm, dry climates.Annals of botany · 2026Article
- Tree growth response and adaptation to climate change and climate extremes: From canopy to stem.Journal of integrative plant biology · 2026Review
- Harnessing Genomic Information for Identifying the Geographic Origin of Five North American Tree Species in Trade.Evolutionary applications · 2026Article
- In Situ GWAS in Two Range-Edge Populations of European Beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) Identify Genetic Factors of Adaptation to Climate Change.Molecular ecology · 2026Article
- Local Adaptation to Current but Not Future Climate in Seasonally Dry Tropical Forests: Population Genomic Evidence in a Neotropical Legume Tree.Evolutionary applications · 2026Article
- Outpaced by Drought: Weak Local Adaptation and Limited Potential for Drought Adaptation in a Deciduous Conifer.Evolutionary applications · 2026Article
- Balancing the Risk: Heritability of Leaf Phenology and Frost Resistance in the Dominant Temperate Forest Tree European Beech.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Using herbarium collections to study genetic responses to global change.The New phytologist · 2026Review
- Postglacial genetic legacies and climate-driven demography inform conservation of silver fir.Annals of botany · 2026Article
- Centroid Migration and Distribution of Dominant Species in Different Grassland Types Revealing Climate Change Responses on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Prioritizing Conservation of Trailing-Edge Populations for Future Climate-Resilient Forests.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Genomic basis of local adaptation in Elymus sibiricus revealed by genotype-environment associations and common garden experiments.BMC plant biology · 2026Article
- Allele frequency and gene expression differences under key winter stresses in temporal populations of two timothy cultivars.TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2026Article
386 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Species distribution models predict a wholesale redistribution of trees in the next century, yet migratory responses necessary to spatially track climates far exceed maximum post-glacial rates. The extent to which populations will adapt will depend upon phenotypic variation, strength of selection, fecundity, interspecific competition, and biotic interactions. Populations of temperate and boreal trees show moderate to strong clines in phenology and growth along temperature gradients, indicating substantial local adaptation. Traits involved in local adaptation appear to be the product of small effects of many genes, and the resulting genotypic redundancy combined with high fecundity may facilitate rapid local adaptation despite high gene flow. Gene flow with preadapted alleles from warmer climates may promote adaptation and migration at the leading edge, while populations at the rear will likely face extirpation. Widespread species with large populations and high fecundity are likely to persist and adapt, but will likely suffer adaptational lag for a few generations. As all tree species will be suffering lags, interspecific competition may weaken, facilitating persistence under suboptimal conditions. Species with small populations, fragmented ranges, low fecundity, or suffering declines due to introduced insects or diseases should be candidates for facilitated migration.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.