ArticleEvolutionary applications2008
Adaptation, extinction and global change.
Article in Evolutionary applications, 2008. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 91 papers.
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Who cites it
91 citing papers in PubMed.
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- Will the Mediterranean Sea Be a Cul-de-Sac for Marine Gastropods Under Climate Change?Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
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- Recruitment in variable environments: plasticity and bet hedging in the timing of seed germination in three closely related species.Annals of botany · 2026Article
- Adaptation and Plasticity ofEvolutionary applications · 2025Article
- Founders predict trait evolution and population performance after evolutionary rescue in the red flour beetle.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Article
- Microbiome evolution plays a secondary role in host rapid adaptation.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025Article
- A test for microbiome-mediated rescue via host phenotypic plasticity inProceedings. Biological sciences · 2025Article
- Comparative Transcriptomic Reveals Greater Similarities in Response to Temperature Than to Invasive Alien Predator in the DamselflyEvolutionary applications · 2024Article
- A test for microbiome-mediated rescue via host phenotypic plasticity inbioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2024Article
- The many dimensions of combination therapy: How to combine antibiotics to limit resistance evolution.Evolutionary applications · 2024Article
- Evidence for Admixture and Rapid Evolution During Glacial Climate Change in an Alpine Specialist.Molecular biology and evolution · 2024Article
- Rapid turnover of a pea aphid superclone mediated by thermal endurance in central Chile.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- Phylogeographic analysis reveals extensive genetic variation of native grassFrontiers in plant science · 2024Article
- Biological lessons for strategic resistance management.Evolutionary applications · 2023Article
- Potential persistence mechanisms of the major Anopheles gambiae species complex malaria vectors in sub-Saharan Africa: a narrative review.Malaria journal · 2023Review
- Open questions in the social lives of viruses.Journal of evolutionary biology · 2023Review
- A limit on the evolutionary rescue of an Antarctic bacterium from rising temperatures.Science advances · 2022Article
31 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We discuss three interlinked issues: the natural pace of environmental change and adaptation, the likelihood that a population will adapt to a potentially lethal change, and adaptation to elevated CO2, the prime mover of global change. Environmental variability is governed by power laws showing that ln difference in conditions increases with ln elapsed time at a rate of 0.3-0.4. This leads to strong but fluctuating selection in many natural populations.The effect of repeated adverse change on mean fitness depends on its frequency rather than its severity. If the depression of mean fitness leads to population decline, however, severe stress may cause extinction. Evolutionary rescue from extinction requires abundant genetic variation or a high mutation supply rate, and thus a large population size. Although natural populations can sustain quite intense selection, they often fail to adapt to anthropogenic stresses such as pollution and acidification and instead become extinct.Experimental selection lines of algae show no specific adaptation to elevated CO2, but instead lose their carbon-concentrating mechanism through mutational degradation. This is likely to reduce the effectiveness of the oceanic carbon pump. Elevated CO2 is also likely to lead to changes in phytoplankton community composition, although it is not yet clear what these will be. We emphasize the importance of experimental evolution in understanding and predicting the biological response to global change. This will be one of the main tasks of evolutionary biologists in the coming decade.
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