Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25563062›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2015

Transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis (TRIPOD): the TRIPOD Statement.

Gary S Collins, Johannes B Reitsma, Douglas G Altman, Karel G M Moons

2 registry-linked trialsOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 944 papers, 12 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
944citing papers in PubMed, 12 pooled it
40.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05609266 completednot on this map

Validation of Non-invasive Risk Models for Prediction of Incident Type 2 Diabetes in a Swedish Population

TypeobservationalSponsorUmeå UniversityRan1990 to 2020Enrolled115,642ConditionsType2diabetes
NCT07544277 not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Spectral and Ultra High Resolution CT Systems for Non-Invasive Detection of Myocardial Ischemia: Stress CT Perfusion VS. FFR-CT

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorIRCCS San RaffaeleRan2026 to 2029Enrolled142ConditionsFFR-CT, CT Angiography, CT Perfusion, Coronary Arterial Disease (CAD)
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

944 citing papers in PubMed, 12 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 1,896 citations in OpenAlex.

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  7. Prognostic models for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in type 2 diabetes: Systematic review.Diabetic medicine : a journal of the British Diabetic Association · 2026
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884 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Gary S CollinsNuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, Botnar Research Centre, Centre for Statistics in Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LD, UK. gary.collins@csm.ox.ac.uk.
Johannes B Reitsma
Douglas G Altman
Karel G M Moons
Nuffield Orthopaedic Centre · GBUniversity Medical Center Utrecht · NLUtrecht University · NL

Funding

Cancer Research UK 16895Cancer Research UK C5529Department of HealthMedical Research Council G0902393/99558Medical Research Council G1100513
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Prediction models are developed to aid health care providers in estimating the probability or risk that a specific disease or condition is present (diagnostic models) or that a specific event will occur in the future (prognostic models), to inform their decision making. However, the overwhelming evidence shows that the quality of reporting of prediction model studies is poor. Only with full and clear reporting of information on all aspects of a prediction model can risk of bias and potential usefulness of prediction models be adequately assessed. The Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) Initiative developed a set of recommendations for the reporting of studies developing, validating, or updating a prediction model, whether for diagnostic or prognostic purposes. This article describes how the TRIPOD Statement was developed. An extensive list of items based on a review of the literature was created, which was reduced after a Web-based survey and revised during a 3-day meeting in June 2011 with methodologists, health care professionals, and journal editors. The list was refined during several meetings of the steering group and in e-mail discussions with the wider group of TRIPOD contributors. The resulting TRIPOD Statement is a checklist of 22 items, deemed essential for transparent reporting of a prediction model study. The TRIPOD Statement aims to improve the transparency of the reporting of a prediction model study regardless of the study methods used. The TRIPOD Statement is best used in conjunction with the TRIPOD explanation and elaboration document. To aid the editorial process and readers of prediction model studies, it is recommended that authors include a completed checklist in their submission (also available at www.tripod-statement.org).

Indexed as

ChecklistDiagnosisModels, TheoreticalPrognosisGuidelines as TopicHumansMultivariate AnalysisRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID25563062
PMCPMC4284921
OpenAlexW2019694480

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.