Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25562888›Full record

ArticleJournal of diabetes science and technology2014

A computational proof of concept of a machine-intelligent artificial pancreas using Lyapunov stability and differential game theory.

Nigel J C Greenwood, Jenny E Gunton

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of diabetes science and technology, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.2field-weighted citation impact, top 42% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Artificial Intelligence Methodologies and Their Application to Diabetes.Journal of diabetes science and technology · 2018
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Nigel J C GreenwoodSchool of Mathematics and Physics, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia Neuromathix, NeuroTech Research Pty Ltd nigel@neuromathix.com.
Jenny E GuntonWestmead Clinical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia Diabetes and Transcription Factors Group, Garvan Institute of Medical Research, Darlinghurst, Australia St Vincent's Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, University of New South Wales, Kensington, Australia Diabetes and Endocrinology, Westmead Hospital, Sydney, Australia.
Garvan Institute of Medical Research · AUNeuromathix (Australia) · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study demonstrated the novel application of a "machine-intelligent" mathematical structure, combining differential game theory and Lyapunov-based control theory, to the artificial pancreas to handle dynamic uncertainties.

methodsRealistic type 1 diabetes (T1D) models from the literature were combined into a composite system. Using a mixture of "black box" simulations and actual data from diabetic medical histories, realistic sets of diabetic time series were constructed for blood glucose (BG), interstitial fluid glucose, infused insulin, meal estimates, and sometimes plasma insulin assays. The problem of underdetermined parameters was side stepped by applying a variant of a genetic algorithm to partial information, whereby multiple candidate-personalized models were constructed and then rigorously tested using further data. These formed a "dynamic envelope" of trajectories in state space, where each trajectory was generated by a hypothesis on the hidden T1D system dynamics. This dynamic envelope was then culled to a reduced form to cover observed dynamic behavior. A machine-intelligent autonomous algorithm then implemented game theory to construct real-time insulin infusion strategies, based on the flow of these trajectories through state space and their interactions with hypoglycemic or near-hyperglycemic states.

resultsThis technique was tested on 2 simulated participants over a total of fifty-five 24-hour days, with no hypoglycemic or hyperglycemic events, despite significant uncertainties from using actual diabetic meal histories with 10-minute warnings. In the main case studies, BG was steered within the desired target set for 99.8% of a 16-hour daily assessment period. Tests confirmed algorithm robustness for ±25% carbohydrate error. For over 99% of the overall 55-day simulation period, either formal controller stability was achieved to the desired target or else the trajectory was within the desired target.

conclusionsThese results suggest that this is a stable, high-confidence way to generate closed-loop insulin infusion strategies.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceGame TheoryPancreas, ArtificialAlgorithmsBlood GlucoseData MiningDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1Equipment DesignHumansModels, StatisticalNonlinear DynamicsPostprandial PeriodPredictive Value of TestsBlood Glucoseartificial pancreaseuglycemiainsulin controlLyapunov

Identifiers

PMID25562888
PMCPMC4764243
OpenAlexW2006270403

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.