ArticleJournal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999)2015
Accuracy of highly sexually active gay and bisexual men's predictions of their daily likelihood of anal sex and its relevance for intermittent event-driven HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis.
Article in Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999), 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 26 citations in OpenAlex.
- In what circumstances could nondaily preexposure prophylaxis for HIV substantially reduce program costs?AIDS (London, England) · 2018Pooled it
- Exploring Patterns of Awareness and Use of HIV Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis Among Young Men Who Have Sex with Men.AIDS and behavior · 2017Trial
- Evaluating a Multimedia Messaging Intervention to Increase Adolescent HIV Testing: Protocol for a Hybrid Type 1 Effectiveness Implementation Study.JMIR research protocols · 2026Article
- "I Think That I Have a Good Understanding of How to Protect Myself": A Qualitative Study About HIV Risk Perceptions Among Men and Gender Diverse Individuals Who Have Sex With Men.AIDS education and prevention : official publication of the International Society for AIDS Education · 2022Article
- How Has HIV Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) Changed Sex? A Review of Research in a New Era of Bio-behavioral HIV Prevention.Journal of sex research · 2021Review
- Salient Constructs for the Development of Shared Decision-Making Tools for HIV Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis Uptake and Regimen Choice: Behaviors, Behavioral Skills, and Beliefs.AIDS patient care and STDs · 2021Article
- Evaluation of a Stepped-Care eHealth HIV Prevention Program for Diverse Adolescent Men Who Have Sex With Men: Protocol for a Hybrid Type 1 Effectiveness Implementation Trial of SMART.JMIR research protocols · 2020Article
- Seeing Is Believing? Unique Capabilities of Internet-Only Studies as a Tool for Implementation Research on HIV Prevention for Men Who Have Sex With Men: A Review of Studies and Methodological Considerations.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2019Article
- Using Smartphone Survey Data and Machine Learning to Identify Situational and Contextual Risk Factors for HIV Risk Behavior Among Men Who Have Sex with Men Who Are Not on PrEP.Prevention science : the official journal of the Society for Prevention Research · 2019Article
- Current and Future PrEP Medications and Modalities: On-demand, Injectables, and Topicals.Current HIV/AIDS reports · 2019Review
- Gay and Bisexual Men's Strategies to Maintain Daily Adherence to Their HIV Pre-exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) Medication: Results from a Qualitative Study.Prevention science : the official journal of the Society for Prevention Research · 2019Article
- Why I Quit Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP)? A Mixed-Method Study Exploring Reasons for PrEP Discontinuation and Potential Re-initiation Among Gay and Bisexual Men.AIDS and behavior · 2018Article
- High Rate of Discontinuation May Diminish PrEP Coverage Among Young Men Who Have Sex with Men.AIDS and behavior · 2018Article
- Temporal Fluctuations in Behavior, Perceived HIV Risk, and Willingness to Use Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP).Archives of sexual behavior · 2018Article
- How Do Gay and Bisexual Men Make Up for Missed PrEP Doses, and What Impact Does Missing a Dose Have on Their Subsequent Sexual Behavior?AIDS education and prevention : official publication of the International Society for AIDS Education · 2018Article
- Maximizing the Benefits of HIV Preexposure Prophylaxis.Topics in antiviral medicine · 2018Article
- Using Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) to Study Sex Events Among Very High-Risk Men Who Have Sex with Men (MSM).AIDS and behavior · 2016Article
- How Different are Men Who Do Not Know Their HIV Status from Those Who Do? Results from an U.S. Online Study of Gay and Bisexual Men.AIDS and behavior · 2016Article
- Prospective Measurement of Daily Health Behaviors: Modeling Temporal Patterns in Missing Data, Sexual Behavior, and Substance Use in an Online Daily Diary Study of Gay and Bisexual Men.AIDS and behavior · 2016Article
- Sexual Behavior Varies Between Same-Race and Different-Race Partnerships: A Daily Diary Study of Highly Sexually Active Black, Latino, and White Gay and Bisexual Men.Archives of sexual behavior · 2016Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
objectiveWe sought to examine highly sexually active gay and bisexual men's accuracy in predicting their sexual behavior for the purposes of informing future research on intermittent event-driven HIV Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis.
designFor 30 days, 92 HIV-negative men completed a daily survey about their sexual behavior (n = 1688 days of data) and indicated their likelihood of having anal sex with a casual male partner next day.
methodWe used multilevel modeling to analyze the association between self-reported likelihood of and subsequent engagement in anal sex.
resultsWe found a linear association between men's reported likelihood of anal sex with casual partners and the actual probability of engaging in sex, although men overestimated the likelihood of sex. Overall, we found that men were better at predicting when they would not have sex than when they would, particularly if any likelihood value greater than 0% was treated as indicative that sex might occur. We found no evidence that men's accuracy of prediction was affected by whether it was a weekend or whether they were using substances, although both did increase the probability of sex. DISCUSSION: These results suggested that, men taking event-driven intermittent Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis, 14% of doses could have been safely skipped with a minimal rate of false negatives using guidelines of taking a dose unless there was no chance (ie, 0% likelihood) of sex on next day. This would result in savings of over US $1300 per year in medication costs per participant.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.