Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25535385›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2015

Avian influenza H5N1 viral and bird migration networks in Asia.

Huaiyu Tian, Sen Zhou, Lu Dong, Thomas P Van Boeckel, Yujun Cui, Scott H Newman, John Y Takekawa, Diann J Prosser, Xiangming Xiao, Yarong Wu and 5 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 120 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
120citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

120 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  19. Landscape changes elevate the risk of avian influenza virus diversification and emergence in the East Asian-Australasian Flyway.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  20. Article

60 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Huaiyu TianState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, People's Republic of China;
Sen ZhouMinistry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling, Center for Earth System Science, and School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, People's Republic of China;
Lu DongMinistry of Education Key Laboratory for Biodiversity and Ecological Engineering, College of Life Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, People's Republic of China;
Thomas P Van BoeckelDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544;
Yujun CuiState Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Beijing 100071, People's Republic of China;
Scott H Newman
John Y Takekawa
Diann J Prosser
Xiangming Xiao
Yarong WuState Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Beijing 100071, People's Republic of China;
Bernard CazellesEcologie et Evolution, UMR 7625, Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique et Ecole Normale Supérieure, 75230 Paris Cedex 05, France; Unité de Modélisation Mathématique et Informatique des Systémes Complexes, Unité Mixte Internationale 209, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement et Université Pierre et Marie Curie, 93142 Bondy Cedex, France;
Shanqian HuangState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, People's Republic of China;
Ruifu YangState Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Beijing 100071, People's Republic of China;
Bryan T GrenfellDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544; Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892; and bingxu@tsinghua.edu.cn grenfell@princeton.edu.
Bing XuState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, People's Republic of China; Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling, Center for Earth System Science, and School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, People's Republic of China; Department of Geography, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84112 bingxu@tsinghua.edu.cn grenfell@princeton.edu.

Funding

Ecology-Based Risk Assessment and Early Warning for HPAI in AsiaR01TW007869 · FIC · UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA · PI XIAO, XIANGMING · 2006 to 2011
$3.7M
Scientific and Technical Computing CoreP2CHD047879 · NICHD · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI SALGANIK, MATTHEW J. · 2014 to 2018
$2.0M
Transmission dynamics and spillover of avian influenza under changing agriculturaR01AI101028 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA · PI XIAO, XIANGMING · 2013 to 2016
$1.9M
Comparative Spillover Dynamics of Avian Influenza in Endemic CountriesR56TW009502 · FIC · ECOHEALTH ALLIANCE, INC. · PI DASZAK, PETER · 2012 to 2012
$300k
FIC NIH HHS R01 TW007869FIC NIH HHS R56 TW009502NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI101028NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD047879
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The spatial spread of the highly pathogenic avian influenza virus H5N1 and its long-term persistence in Asia have resulted in avian influenza panzootics and enormous economic losses in the poultry sector. However, an understanding of the regional long-distance transmission and seasonal patterns of the virus is still lacking. In this study, we present a phylogeographic approach to reconstruct the viral migration network. We show that within each wild fowl migratory flyway, the timing of H5N1 outbreaks and viral migrations are closely associated, but little viral transmission was observed between the flyways. The bird migration network is shown to better reflect the observed viral gene sequence data than other networks and contributes to seasonal H5N1 epidemics in local regions and its large-scale transmission along flyways. These findings have potentially far-reaching consequences, improving our understanding of how bird migration drives the periodic reemergence of H5N1 in Asia.

Indexed as

Animal MigrationAnimalsAsiaBirdsDisease OutbreaksGene FlowGene Regulatory NetworksGeographyInfluenza A Virus, H5N1 SubtypeInfluenza in BirdsPhylogenyStatistics as TopicTime Factorsbird migrationHPAI H5N1networksatellite trackingviral migration

Identifiers

PMID25535385
PMCPMC4291667

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.