Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25518978›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology and infection2015

Unpacking the 'black box' of total pathogen burden: is number or type of pathogens most predictive of all-cause mortality in the United States?

A M Simanek, J B Dowd, A Zajacova, A E Aiello

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Life Course Socioeconomic Disadvantage and the Aging Immune System: Findings From the Health and Retirement Study.The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

A M SimanekJoseph J. Zilber School of Public Health,University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee,Milwaukee,WI,USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0377-6376
J B DowdCUNY School of Public Health,Hunter College, City University of New York,NY,USA.
A ZajacovaDepartment of Sociology,College of Arts and Sciences, University of Wyoming,Laramie,WY,USA.
A E AielloDepartment of Epidemiology,Gillings School of Global Public Health,University of North Carolina,Chapel Hill,NC,USA.

Funding

Infectious Links Between Psychosocial Stress and AgingR01AG040115 · NIA · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI AIELLO, ALLISON E · 2012 to 2014
$1.7M
Under the Skin: Understanding the Role of Stress and Immune Function in Health DiR21NR011181 · NINR · HUNTER COLLEGE · PI DOWD, JENNIFER BEAM · 2008 to 2009
$434k
NIA NIH HHS 1-R01-AG-040115NIA NIH HHS R01 AG040115NINR NIH HHS 1-R21-NR-011181-01NINR NIH HHS R21 NR011181
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A 'black box' paradigm has prevailed in which researchers have focused on the association between the total number of pathogens for which individuals are seropositive (i.e. total pathogen burden) and various chronic diseases, while largely ignoring the role that seropositivity for specific combinations of pathogens may play in the aetiology of such outcomes and consequently mortality. We examined the association between total pathogen burden as well as specific pathogen combinations and all-cause mortality in the United States. Data were from individuals aged ⩾25 years tested for cytomegalovirus (CMV), herpes simplex virus (HSV)-1, HSV-2 and Helicobacter pylori, with mortality follow-up to 31 December 2006 in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) III (N = 6522). We did not observe a statistically significant graded relationship between total pathogen burden level and all-cause mortality. Furthermore, compared to those seronegative for all four pathogens, the greatest statistically significant rate of all-cause mortality was for those CMV+/HSV-2+ (hazard ratio 1·95, 95% confidence interval 1·13-3·35) adjusting for age, gender, race/ethnicity, education level, body mass index (kg/m2) and smoking status. Interventions targeting prevention or treatment of particular pathogens may be more effective for reducing mortality than those focused solely on reducing overall pathogen burden.

Indexed as

Cause of DeathAdultAntibodies, BacterialAntibodies, ViralCarrier StateCoinfectionCytomegalovirusCytomegalovirus InfectionsFemaleHelicobacter InfectionsHelicobacter pyloriHerpes SimplexHerpesvirus 1, HumanHerpesvirus 2, HumanHumansMaleAntibodies, BacterialAntibodies, ViralCytomegalovirusHelicobacter pyloriherpes simplex virusmortalitypathogen burden

Identifiers

PMID25518978
PMCPMC9151019

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.