Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25497248›Full record

ArticleAmerican heart journal2015

P-wave indices and atrial fibrillation: cross-cohort assessments from the Framingham Heart Study (FHS) and Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

Jared W Magnani, Lei Zhu, Faye Lopez, Michael J Pencina, Sunil K Agarwal, Elsayed Z Soliman, Emelia J Benjamin, Alvaro Alonso

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American heart journal, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 54 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
54citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
4.9field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

54 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 106 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Electrocardiographic Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation.Medical sciences (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023
    Pooled it
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  3. Predictive value of P wave terminal force in lead V1 for atrial fibrillation: A meta-analysis.Annals of noninvasive electrocardiology : the official journal of the International Society for Holter and Noninvasive Electrocardiology, Inc · 2020
    Pooled it
  4. Prediction models for atrial fibrillation applicable in the community: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2020
    Pooled it
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  8. [Atrial fibrillation screening-reading the P-wave].Innere Medizin (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2026
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  12. Prevalence, associated factors, and prognostic value of P wave abnormality in patients with coronary artery disease.International journal of cardiology. Cardiovascular risk and prevention · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Jared W MagnaniSection of Cardiovascular Medicine, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA; National Heart Lung and Blood Institute's Framingham Heart Study, Framingham, MA. Electronic address: jmagnani@bu.edu.
Lei ZhuDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Boston University, Boston, MA.
Faye LopezDivision of Epidemiology and Community Health, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN.
Michael J PencinaNational Heart Lung and Blood Institute's Framingham Heart Study, Framingham, MA; Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Boston University, Boston, MA; Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Sunil K AgarwalJohns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD.
Elsayed Z SolimanEpidemiological Cardiology Research Center (EPICARE), Department of Epidemiology and Prevention, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC.
Emelia J BenjaminSection of Cardiovascular Medicine, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA; National Heart Lung and Blood Institute's Framingham Heart Study, Framingham, MA; Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Alvaro AlonsoDivision of Epidemiology and Community Health, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN.
Boston University · USUniversity of Minnesota · USJohns Hopkins University · USWake Forest University · US

Funding

P Wave Indices: Risk Prediction and Cardiovascular OutcomesR21HL106092 · NHLBI · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI MAGNANI, JARED W. · 2011 to 2012
$456k
NHLBI NIH HHS R21 HL106092
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased morbidity. P-wave indices (PWIs) measure atrial electrical function and are associated with AF. Study of PWI has been limited to single-cohort investigations, and their contributions to risk enhancement are unknown.

methodsWe examined PWI from the FHS and ARIC study. We calculated 10-year AF risk using adjusted Cox models. We conducted cross-cohort meta-analyses for the PWI estimates and assessed their contributions to risk discrimination (c statistic), net reclassification index, and integrated discrimination improvement.

resultsAfter exclusions, the analysis included 3,110 FHS (62.6 ± 9.8 years, 56.9% women) and 8,254 ARIC participants (62.3 ± 5.6 years, 57.3% women, 20.3% black race). Over 10 years, 217 FHS and 458 ARIC participants developed AF. In meta-analysis, P-wave duration >120 milliseconds was significantly associated with AF (hazard ratio 1.55, 95% CI 1.29-1.85) compared with ≤120 milliseconds. P-wave area was marginally but not significantly related to AF (hazard ratio 1.31, 95% CI 0.95-1.80). P-wave terminal force was strongly associated with AF in ARIC but not FHS. P-wave indices had a limited contribution toward predictive risk beyond traditional risk factors and markers.

conclusionsP-wave indices are intermediate phenotypes for AF. They are associated with AF in cross-cohort meta-analyses but contribute minimally toward enhancing risk prediction.

Indexed as

AgedAtrial FibrillationCohort StudiesElectrocardiographyFemaleHeart Conduction SystemHumansMaleMiddle AgedPhenotypeProportional Hazards ModelsUnited States

Identifiers

PMID25497248
PMCPMC4269236
OpenAlexW2064075885

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.