Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25493594›Full record

ArticleAIDS (London, England)2014

Evaluating the impact of prioritization of antiretroviral pre-exposure prophylaxis in New York.

Jason Kessler, Julie E Myers, Kimberly A Nucifora, Nana Mensah, Christopher Toohey, Amin Khademi, Blayne Cutler, Scott Braithwaite

Open access · greenAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS (London, England), 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
5.0field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 75 citations in OpenAlex.

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  13. Development and Calibration of a Dynamic HIV Transmission Model for 6 US Cities.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Jason KesslerDivision of Comparative Effectiveness and Decision Science, Department of Population Health, New York University School of Medicine, NY, USA. Jason.Kessler@nyumc.org
Julie E Myers
Kimberly A Nucifora
Nana Mensah
Christopher Toohey
Amin Khademi
Blayne Cutler
Scott Braithwaite
New York University · USNew York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene · USClemson University · US

Funding

Using Coincidence Analysis to Investigate Factors Affecting PrEP Initiation and Continuation in Southern ending the Epidemic CountiesP30MH062294 · NIMH · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John Edward Pachankis · 2001 to 2026
$48.5M
Transdisciplinary Theoretical Svnthesis and Development CoreP30DA011041 · NIDA · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY · PI Holly Hagan · 1998 to 2026
$38.9M
NIDA NIH HHS P30 DA011041NIMH NIH HHS P30 MH062294
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo compare the value and effectiveness of different prioritization strategies of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in New York City (NYC).

designMathematical modelling utilized as clinical trial is not feasible.

methodsUsing a model accounting for both sexual and parenteral transmission of HIV, we compare different PrEP prioritization strategies (PPS) with two scenarios – no PrEP and PrEP for all susceptible at-risk individuals. The PPS included PrEP for all MSM,only high-risk MSM, high-risk heterosexuals, and IDUs, and all combinations of these four strategies. Outcomes included HIV infections averted, and incremental cost effectiveness(per-infection averted) ratios. Initial assumptions regarding PrEP included a 44% reduction in HIV transmission, 50% uptake in the prioritized population and an annual cost per person of $9762. Sensitivity analyses on key parameters were conducted.

resultsPrioritization to all MSM results in a 19% reduction in new HIV infections. Compared with PrEP for all persons at-risk, this PPS retains 79% of the preventive effect at 15% of the total cost. PrEP prioritized to only high-risk MSM results in a reduction in new HIV infections of 15%. This PPS retains 60% of the preventive effect at 6% of the total cost. There are diminishing returns when PrEP utilization is expanded beyond this group.

conclusionPrEP implementation is relatively cost-inefficient under our initial assumptions. Our results suggest that PrEP should first be promoted among MSM who are at particularly high risk of HIV acquisition. Further expansion beyond this group may be cost-effective, but is unlikely to be cost-saving.

Indexed as

Anti-Retroviral AgentsChemopreventionDisease Transmission, InfectiousFemaleHealth Care CostsHIV InfectionsHumansMaleModels, TheoreticalNew York CityPre-Exposure ProphylaxisTreatment OutcomeAnti-Retroviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID25493594
PMCPMC4556593
OpenAlexW2312573952

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.