Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25471390›Full record

ArticleNeurology2015

Rates and risk factors for progression to incident dementia vary by age in a population cohort.

Mary Ganguli, Ching-Wen Lee, Beth E Snitz, Tiffany F Hughes, Eric McDade, Chung-Chou H Chang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Neurology, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Stroke and dementia risk: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2018
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Rate of incident dementia and care needs among older adults with new traumatic brain injury: a population-based cohort study.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
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  11. The Associations of Dietary Copper With Cognitive Outcomes.American journal of epidemiology · 2022
    Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Observational
  16. Aging, Diabetes, Obesity, and Cognitive Decline: A Population-Based Study.Journal of the American Geriatrics Society · 2020
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Declining Incident Dementia Rates Across Four Population-Based Birth Cohorts.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2019
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Mary GanguliFrom the Departments of Psychiatry (M.G., C.-W.L., T.F.H.), Neurology (M.G., B.E.S., E.M.), and Medicine (C.-C.H.C.), School of Medicine, and Departments of Epidemiology (M.G.) and Biostatistics (C.-C.H.C.), Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, PA. GanguliM@upmc.edu.
Ching-Wen LeeFrom the Departments of Psychiatry (M.G., C.-W.L., T.F.H.), Neurology (M.G., B.E.S., E.M.), and Medicine (C.-C.H.C.), School of Medicine, and Departments of Epidemiology (M.G.) and Biostatistics (C.-C.H.C.), Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, PA.
Beth E SnitzFrom the Departments of Psychiatry (M.G., C.-W.L., T.F.H.), Neurology (M.G., B.E.S., E.M.), and Medicine (C.-C.H.C.), School of Medicine, and Departments of Epidemiology (M.G.) and Biostatistics (C.-C.H.C.), Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, PA.
Tiffany F HughesFrom the Departments of Psychiatry (M.G., C.-W.L., T.F.H.), Neurology (M.G., B.E.S., E.M.), and Medicine (C.-C.H.C.), School of Medicine, and Departments of Epidemiology (M.G.) and Biostatistics (C.-C.H.C.), Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, PA.
Eric McDadeFrom the Departments of Psychiatry (M.G., C.-W.L., T.F.H.), Neurology (M.G., B.E.S., E.M.), and Medicine (C.-C.H.C.), School of Medicine, and Departments of Epidemiology (M.G.) and Biostatistics (C.-C.H.C.), Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, PA.
Chung-Chou H ChangFrom the Departments of Psychiatry (M.G., C.-W.L., T.F.H.), Neurology (M.G., B.E.S., E.M.), and Medicine (C.-C.H.C.), School of Medicine, and Departments of Epidemiology (M.G.) and Biostatistics (C.-C.H.C.), Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, PA.

Funding

Imaging CoreU19AG032438 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI BATEMAN, RANDALL J · 2010 to 2025
$53.9M
Mild Cognitive Impairment: A Prospective Community StudyR01AG023651 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI GANGULI, MARY · 2005 to 2020
$27.1M
Imaging CoreU01AG032438 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI MORRIS, JOHN · 2008 to 2009
$6.1M
Epidemiology of Aging Brain and BehaviorK07AG044395 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI GANGULI, MARY · 2013 to 2017
$615k
Subjective Cognitive Complants, Cognitive Decline and B-Amyloid Deposition in NonK23AG038479 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI SNITZ, BETH · 2010 to 2014
$577k
NIA NIH HHS AG023651NIA NIH HHS K07 AG044395NIA NIH HHS K23AG038479NIA NIH HHS R01 AG023651NIA NIH HHS U01 AG032438-03NIA NIH HHS U19 AG032438
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate rate of progression from normal cognition or mild impairment to dementia, and to identify potential risk and protective factors for incident dementia, based on age at dementia onset in a prospective study of a population-based cohort (n = 1,982) aged 65 years and older.

methodsFollowing the cohort annually for up to 5 years, we estimated incidence of dementia (Clinical Dementia Rating ≥1) among individuals previously normal or mildly impaired (Clinical Dementia Rating 0 or 0.5). In the whole cohort, and also stratified by median onset age, we examined several vascular, metabolic, and inflammatory variables as potential risk factors for developing dementia, using interval-censored survival models.

resultsBased on 67 incident cases of dementia, incidence rate (per 1,000 person-years) was 10.0 overall, 5.8 in those with median onset age of 87 years or younger, and 31.5 in those with onset age after 87 years. Adjusting for demographics, the risk of incident dementia with onset age of 87 years or younger (n = 33) was significantly increased by baseline smoking, stroke, low systolic blood pressure, and APOE*4 genotype, and reduced by current alcohol use. Among those with dementia with onset after 87 years (n = 34), no risk or protective factor was significant.

conclusionRisk and protective factors were only found for incident dementia with onset before the median onset age of 87 years, and not for those with later onset. Either unexplored risk factors explain the continued increase in incidence with age, or unknown protective factors are allowing some individuals to delay onset into very old age.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsAge of OnsetAlcohol DrinkingApolipoprotein E4Blood PressureCognitive DysfunctionCohort StudiesDementiaDisease ProgressionFemaleGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseHumansHypotensionMaleApolipoprotein E4

Identifiers

PMID25471390
PMCPMC4336092

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.