Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25458097›Full record

ArticleSeizure2015

Development and validation of a seizure prediction model in critically ill children.

Amy Yang, Daniel H Arndt, Robert A Berg, Jessica L Carpenter, Kevin E Chapman, Dennis J Dlugos, William B Gallentine, Christopher C Giza, Joshua L Goldstein, Cecil D Hahn and 11 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract readMulticenter StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Seizure, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 41 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Late-Onset Findings During Extended EEG Monitoring Are Rare in Critically Ill Children.Journal of clinical neurophysiology : official publication of the American Electroencephalographic Society · 2025
    Article
  3. Continuous electroencephalography in the intensive care unit: A critical review and position statement from an Australian and New Zealand perspective.Critical care and resuscitation : journal of the Australasian Academy of Critical Care Medicine · 2023
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Observational
  6. Observational
  7. Article
  8. Observational
  9. Article
  10. Early EEG Features for Outcome Prediction After Cardiac Arrest in Children.Journal of clinical neurophysiology : official publication of the American Electroencephalographic Society · 2019
    Observational
  11. Seizure Prediction Models in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit.Journal of clinical neurophysiology : official publication of the American Electroencephalographic Society · 2019
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. How much does it cost to identify a critically ill child experiencing electrographic seizures?Journal of clinical neurophysiology : official publication of the American Electroencephalographic Society · 2015
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors at 12 institutions in 1 country.

Amy YangDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Perelman School of Medicine at The University of Pennsylvania, United States.
Daniel H ArndtDepartments of Pediatrics and Neurology, Beaumont Children's Hospital and Oakland University William Beaumont School of Medicine, Royal Oak, MI, United States.
Robert A BergDepartment of Anesthesia and Critical Care Medicine, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia and The Perelman School of Medicine at The University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States.
Jessica L CarpenterDepartment of Neurology, Children's National Medical Center, Washington, DC, United States.
Kevin E ChapmanDepartment of Pediatrics and Neurology, Children's Hospital Colorado and University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, United States.
Dennis J DlugosDepartments of Neurology and Pediatrics, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia and The Perelman School of Medicine at The University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States.
William B GallentineDivision of Neurology, Duke Children's Hospital and Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, United States.
Christopher C GizaDivision of Neurology, Department of Pediatrics Mattel Children's Hospital and UCLA Brain Injury Research Center, Department of Neurosurgery, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, United States.
Joshua L GoldsteinDivision of Neurology, Children's Memorial Hospital and Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, United States.
Cecil D HahnDivision of Neurology, The Hospital for Sick Children and University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, United States.
Jason T LernerDivision of Neurology, Department of Pediatrics Mattel Children's Hospital and UCLA Brain Injury Research Center, Department of Neurosurgery, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, United States.
Tobias LoddenkemperDivision of Epilepsy and Clinical Neurophysiology, Department of Neurology, Boston Children's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, United States.
Joyce H MatsumotoDivision of Neurology, Department of Pediatrics Mattel Children's Hospital and UCLA Brain Injury Research Center, Department of Neurosurgery, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, United States.
Kendall B NashDepartment of Neurology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States.
Eric T PayneDivision of Neurology, The Hospital for Sick Children and University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, United States.
Iván Sánchez FernándezDivision of Epilepsy and Clinical Neurophysiology, Department of Neurology, Boston Children's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, United States.
Justine ShultsDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Perelman School of Medicine at The University of Pennsylvania, United States.
Alexis A TopjianDepartment of Anesthesia and Critical Care Medicine, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia and The Perelman School of Medicine at The University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States.
Korwyn WilliamsDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Arizona College of Medicine and Barrow's Neurological Institute at Phoenix Children's Hospital, Phoenix, AZ, United States.
Courtney J WusthoffDivision of Child Neurology, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, United States.
Nicholas S AbendDepartments of Neurology and Pediatrics, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia and The Perelman School of Medicine at The University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States. Electronic address: abend@chop.edu.
Children's Hospital of Philadelphia · USMattel Children's Hospital · USBoston Children's Hospital · USUniversity of Pennsylvania · USBarrow Neurological Institute · USChildren's Hospital Colorado · USChildren's National · USDuke University · USNorthwestern University · USOakland University · USStanford University · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · US

Funding

Impact of Initial Therapy and Response on Long Term Outcome in Children with CAEU01NS045911 · NINDS · CINCINNATI CHILDRENS HOSP MED CTR · PI GLAUSER, TRACY A · 2003 to 2013
$31.1M
The Epilepsy Phenome/ Genome Project (EPGP)U01NS053998 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI LOWENSTEIN, DANIEL H · 2007 to 2013
$26.4M
2 of 7 EPI4K - Phenotyping Clinical Informatics Core U01NS077276 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI LOWENSTEIN, DANIEL H · 2011 to 2015
$3.1M
Multi-Institutional Pediatric Epilepsy Decision SupportR01LM011124 · NLM · CINCINNATI CHILDRENS HOSP MED CTR · PI PESTIAN, JOHN P · 2011 to 2013
$955k
Non-convulsive seizures in critically ill children:physiology and outcomeK23NS076550 · NINDS · CHILDREN'S HOSP OF PHILADELPHIA · PI ABEND, NICHOLAS SCOTT · 2011 to 2015
$877k
Prompt Diagnosis and Treatment of Subclinical Seizures After Cardiac ArrestK23NS075363 · NINDS · CHILDREN'S HOSP OF PHILADELPHIA · PI TOPJIAN, ALEXIS A. · 2012 to 2016
$874k
NINDS NIH HHS K23 NS075363NINDS NIH HHS K23 NS076550NINDS NIH HHS U01 NS045911NINDS NIH HHS U01 NS053998NINDS NIH HHS U01 NS077276NLM NIH HHS R01 LM011124
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeElectrographic seizures are common in encephalopathic critically ill children, but identification requires continuous EEG monitoring (CEEG). Development of a seizure prediction model would enable more efficient use of limited CEEG resources. We aimed to develop and validate a seizure prediction model for use among encephalopathic critically ill children.

methodWe developed a seizure prediction model using a retrospectively acquired multi-center database of children with acute encephalopathy without an epilepsy diagnosis, who underwent clinically indicated CEEG. We performed model validation using a separate prospectively acquired single center database. Predictor variables were chosen to be readily available to clinicians prior to the onset of CEEG and included: age, etiology category, clinical seizures prior to CEEG, initial EEG background category, and inter-ictal discharge category.

resultsThe model has fair to good discrimination ability and overall performance. At the optimal cut-off point in the validation dataset, the model has a sensitivity of 59% and a specificity of 81%. Varied cut-off points could be chosen to optimize sensitivity or specificity depending on available CEEG resources.

conclusionDespite inherent variability between centers, a model developed using multi-center CEEG data and few readily available variables could guide the use of limited CEEG resources when applied at a single center. Depending on CEEG resources, centers could choose lower cut-off points to maximize identification of all patients with seizures (but with more patients monitored) or higher cut-off points to reduce resource utilization by reducing monitoring of lower risk patients (but with failure to identify some patients with seizures).

Indexed as

Models, NeurologicalChildChild, PreschoolCritical IllnessDatabases, FactualElectroencephalographyFemaleHumansInfantLogistic ModelsMalePrognosisProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsROC CurveEEG monitoringNon-convulsive seizurePediatricPrediction modelSeizureStatus epilepticus

Identifiers

PMID25458097
PMCPMC4315714
OpenAlexW2074230570

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceTDM
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.