ArticleJournal of plastic, reconstructive & aesthetic surgery : JPRAS2015
Linear regression analysis of Hospital Episode Statistics predicts a large increase in demand for elective hand surgery in England.
Article in Journal of plastic, reconstructive & aesthetic surgery : JPRAS, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 47 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
47 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Time to recovery following open and endoscopic carpal tunnel decompression: meta-analysis.BJS open · 2025Pooled it
- Local corticosteroid injection versus surgery for carpal tunnel syndrome.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2024Pooled it
- A systematic review of steroid use in peripheral nerve pathologies and treatment.Frontiers in neurology · 2024Pooled it
- Local corticosteroid injection versus placebo for carpal tunnel syndrome.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2023Pooled it
- Sickness absence after carpal tunnel release: a systematic review of the literature.Scandinavian journal of work, environment & health · 2018Pooled it
- What do we know about managing Dupuytren's disease cost-effectively?BMC musculoskeletal disorders · 2018Pooled it
- Virtual reality immersion compared to monitored anesthesia care for hand surgery: A randomized controlled trial.PloS one · 2022Trial
- Trial
- Trial
- Examining the role of insulin-like growth factor 1 in the pathophysiology of carpal tunnel syndrome: a Mendelian randomization study.International journal of epidemiology · 2026Article
- Noninvasive Assessment of the Ulnar Nerve in the Upper Extremity Using Machine Learning.Journal of hand surgery global online · 2026Article
- Article
- Unraveling the causality between carpal tunnel syndrome and trigger finger through genetic instrumental variables.European journal of medical research · 2025Article
- Outcomes and intraoperative findings of revision surgery for failed subcutaneous transposition of the ulnar nerve.JSES international · 2025Article
- Effects of Virtually Led Value-Based Preoperative Assessment on Safety, Efficiency, and Patient and Professional Satisfaction.Journal of clinical medicine · 2025Article
- The effect of preoperative interventions on postoperative outcomes following elective hand surgery: A systematic review.Hand therapy · 2025Review
- Article
- What Patients Say About Their Orthopaedic Hand and Wrist Surgeons: A Qualitative Analysis of Negative Reviews on Yelp.Journal of wrist surgery · 2024Article
- Driving, work, wound care and rehabilitation after carpal tunnel release: Consensus recommendations from a UK Delphi study.Hand therapy · 2022Article
- T2-weighted MRI defines critical compression in the distal carpal tunnel that is relieved after decompressive surgery.Journal of plastic, reconstructive & aesthetic surgery : JPRAS · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
introductionWe integrated two factors, demographic population shifts and changes in prevalence of disease, to predict future trends in demand for hand surgery in England, to facilitate workforce planning.
methodsWe analysed Hospital Episode Statistics data for Dupuytren's disease, carpal tunnel syndrome, cubital tunnel syndrome, and trigger finger from 1998 to 2011. Using linear regression, we estimated trends in both diagnosis and surgery until 2030. We integrated this regression with age specific population data from the Office for National Statistics in order to estimate how this will contribute to a change in workload over time.
resultsThere has been a significant increase in both absolute numbers of diagnoses and surgery for all four conditions. Combined with future population data, we calculate that the total operative burden for these four conditions will increase from 87,582 in 2011 to 170,166 (95% confidence interval 144,517-195,353) in 2030. DISCUSSION: The prevalence of these diseases in the ageing population, and increasing prevalence of predisposing factors such as obesity and diabetes, may account for the predicted increase in workload. The most cost effective treatments must be sought, which requires high quality clinical trials. Our methodology can be applied to other sub-specialties to help anticipate the need for future service provision.
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Registered trials
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