Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25454986›Full record

Trial reportMechanisms of ageing and development

Trajectories of physiological dysregulation predicts mortality and health outcomes in a consistent manner across three populations.

Emmanuel Milot, V Morissette-Thomas, Qing Li, Linda P Fried, Luigi Ferrucci, Alan A Cohen

Abstract readClinical TrialMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in Mechanisms of ageing and development. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 46 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
46citing papers in PubMed
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

46 citing papers in PubMed, 75 citations in OpenAlex.

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  3. No winners or losers: clinical chemistry-based biological aging metrics perform similarly across cohorts and health outcomes.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2025
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  7. Physiological Dysregulation Proceeds and Predicts Health Outcomes Similarly in Chinese and Western Populations.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2024
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  20. Insights from evolutionarily relevant models for human ageing.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Emmanuel MilotDepartment of Chemistry, Biochemistry and Physics, Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières, 3351 boul. des Forges, CP 500, Trois-Rivières, QC, G9A 5H7, Canada.
V Morissette-ThomasPRIMUS Research Group, Groupe de recherche PRIMUS, Department of Family Medicine, University of Sherbrooke, CHUS-Fleurimont, 3001 12e Avenue North, Sherbrooke, QC J1H 5N4, Canada.
Qing LiPRIMUS Research Group, Groupe de recherche PRIMUS, Department of Family Medicine, University of Sherbrooke, CHUS-Fleurimont, 3001 12e Avenue North, Sherbrooke, QC J1H 5N4, Canada.
Linda P FriedMailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, 722 West 168th Street, R1408, New York, NY, 10032, USA.
Luigi FerrucciTranslational Gerontology Branch, Longitudinal Studies Section, National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Baltimore, MD 21225, USA.
Alan A CohenPRIMUS Research Group, Groupe de recherche PRIMUS, Department of Family Medicine, University of Sherbrooke, CHUS-Fleurimont, 3001 12e Avenue North, Sherbrooke, QC J1H 5N4, Canada. Electronic address: alan.cohen@usherbrooke.ca.
Hôpital Fleurimont · CAColumbia University · USNational Institute on Aging · USUniversité du Québec à Trois-Rivières · CA

Funding

The Baltimore Longitudinal Study Of AgingZIAAG000015 · NIA · NATIONAL INSTITUTE ON AGING · PI SIMONSICK, ELEANOR MARIE · 2009 to 2025
$116.9M
THE BALTIMORE LONGITUDINAL STUDY OF HUMAN AGINGZ01AG000015 · NIA · NATIONAL INSTITUTE ON AGING · PI FERRUCCI, LUIGI · 1985 to 2008
$11.4M
The InChianti StudyZIAAG001050 · NIA · NATIONAL INSTITUTE ON AGING · PI FERRUCCI, LUIGI · 2009 to 2025
$2.1M
Biomarkers of Homestatic Dysregulation in Aging and Chronic DiseaseZIAAG000971 · NIA · NATIONAL INSTITUTE ON AGING · PI FERRUCCI, LUIGI · 2009 to 2025
$1.9M
CIHR 110789CIHR 119485CIHR 120305Intramural NIH HHS Z01 AG000015Intramural NIH HHS Z99 AG999999Intramural NIH HHS ZIA AG001050
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Mechanistic and evolutionary perspectives both agree that aging involves multiple integrated biochemical networks in the organism. In particular, the homeostatic physiological dysregulation (PD) hypothesis contends that aging is caused by the progressive breakdown of key regulatory processes. However, nothing is yet known about the specifics of how PD changes with age and affects health. Using a recently validated measure of PD involving the calculation of a multivariate distance (DM) from biomarker data, we show that PD trajectories predict mortality, frailty, and chronic diseases (cancer, cardiovascular diseases, and diabetes). Specifically, relative risks of outcomes associated with individual slopes in (i.e. rate of) dysregulation range 1.20-1.40 per unit slope. We confirm the results by replicating the analysis using two suites of biomarkers selected with markedly different criteria and, for mortality, in three longitudinal cohort-based studies. Overall, the consistence of effect sizes (direction and magnitude) across data sets, biomarker suites and outcomes suggests that the positive relationship between DM and health outcomes is a general phenomenon found across human populations. Therefore, the study of dysregulation trajectories should allow important insights into aging physiology and provide clinically meaningful predictors of outcomes.

Indexed as

AgingAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCardiovascular DiseasesChronic DiseaseDiabetes MellitusFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasmsDiseasesLongitudinal trajectoriesMahalanobis distanceMortalityPhysiological dysregulation

Identifiers

PMID25454986
PMCPMC4310774
OpenAlexW1991582100

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.