Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25439361›Full record

ArticleThe journal of allergy and clinical immunology. In practice

Optimum predictors of childhood asthma: persistent wheeze or the Asthma Predictive Index?

Priyal Amin, Linda Levin, Tolly Epstein, Pat Ryan, Grace LeMasters, Gurjit Khurana Hershey, Tina Reponen, Manuel Villareal, James Lockey, David I Bernstein

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. In practice. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 52 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. A systematic review of predictive models for asthma development in children.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2015
    Pooled it
  3. Identification of two early life eczema and non-eczema phenotypes with high risk for asthma development.Clinical and experimental allergy : journal of the British Society for Allergy and Clinical Immunology · 2019
    Trial
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Early Prediction of Asthma.Journal of clinical medicine · 2023
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Wheezing in children: Approaches to diagnosis and management.International journal of pediatrics & adolescent medicine · 2019
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Predicting Asthma Using Clinical Indexes.Frontiers in pediatrics · 2019
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Priyal AminDivision of Immunology, Allergy and Rheumatology, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, Ohio.
Linda LevinDepartment of Environmental Health, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio.
Tolly EpsteinDivision of Immunology, Allergy and Rheumatology, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, Ohio; Department of Internal Medicine, Cincinnati Veteran's Affairs Medical Center, Cincinnati, Ohio.
Pat RyanDepartment of Environmental Health, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, Ohio.
Grace LeMastersDepartment of Environmental Health, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio.
Gurjit Khurana HersheyDepartment of Pediatrics, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, Ohio.
Tina ReponenDepartment of Environmental Health, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio.
Manuel VillarealDivision of Immunology, Allergy and Rheumatology, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, Ohio.
James LockeyDepartment of Environmental Health, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio; Division of Pulmonary Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, Ohio.
David I BernsteinDivision of Immunology, Allergy and Rheumatology, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, Ohio; Department of Environmental Health, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio. Electronic address: BERNSTDD@ucmail.uc.edu.
University of Cincinnati · USUniversity of Cincinnati Medical Center · USCincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center · US

Funding

CTSA INFRASTRUCTURE FOR PEDIATRIC RESEARCHUL1RR026314 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI HEUBI, JAMES E. · 2009 to 2011
$14.3M
Molecular Epidemiology in Children's Environmental Health Training Program (MECEH)T32ES010957 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI Kelly J Brunst · 2001 to 2026
$11.1M
Diesel, Allergens and Gene Interaction and Child AtopyR01ES011170 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI LEMASTERS, GRACE · 2001 to 2009
$10.4M
Immunology/Allergy Fellowship Training GrantT32AI060515 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI BERNSTEIN, DAVID I., ROTHENBERG, MARC E. · 2004 to 2018
$2.8M
NCRR NIH HHS 5UL1RR026314NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR026314NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI060515NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES011170NIEHS NIH HHS , RO1 ES 011170-07NIEHS NIH HHS T32 ES010957NIEHS NIH HHS T32ES010957-13
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Asthma Predictive Index (API) and persistent wheezing phenotypes are associated with childhood asthma, but previous studies have not assessed their ability to predict objectively confirmed asthma.

objectiveTo determine whether the University of Cincinnati API Index (ucAPI) and/or persistent wheezing at age 3 can accurately predict objectively confirmed asthma at age 7.

methodsData from the Cincinnati Childhood Allergy and Air Pollution Study, a high-risk prospective birth cohort, was used. Asthma was defined as parent-reported or physician-diagnosed asthma objectively confirmed by a change in FEV1 of ≥12% after bronchodilator or a positive methacholine challenge (PC20 ≤ 4 mg/mL); or as prior treatment with daily asthma controller medication(s). Multivariate logistic regression was used to investigate the relationship between confirmed asthma at age 7 and a positive ucAPI (adapted and modified from prior published API definitions) and persistent wheezing at age 3.

resultsAt age 7, 103 of 589 children (17.5%) satisfied the criteria for asthma. Confirmed asthma at age 7 was significantly associated with a positive ucAPI (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 13.3 [95% CI, 7.0-25.2]; P < .01) and the persistent wheezing phenotype (aOR 9.8 [95% CI, 4.9-19.5]; P < .01) at age 3. Allergic persistent wheezing was associated with a significantly higher risk of asthma (aOR 10.4 [95% CI, 4.1-26.0]; P < .01) than nonallergic persistent wheezing (aOR 5.4 [95% CI, 2.04-14.06]; P < .01).

conclusionBoth a positive ucAPI and persistent wheeze at age 3 were associated with objectively confirmed asthma at age 7; however, the highest risk was associated with ucAPI. These results demonstrate the ucAPI as a clinically useful tool for predicting future asthma in school-age children.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesAge FactorsAsthmaBronchial Provocation TestsChildChild, PreschoolFemaleForced Expiratory VolumeHumansInfantLogistic ModelsLungMaleMultivariate AnalysisOdds RatioPhenotypeAsthmaAsthma predictionAsthma Predictive IndexAtopic persistent wheezingChildhood asthmaNonatopic persistent wheezingPersistent wheezingWheezing phenotypes

Identifiers

PMID25439361
PMCPMC4254628
OpenAlexW2102286635

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.