ArticleScientific reports2014
The role of different social contexts in shaping influenza transmission during the 2009 pandemic.
Article in Scientific reports, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.
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Who cites it
27 citing papers in PubMed, 42 citations in OpenAlex.
- Maternal Influenza Vaccination and the Risk of Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza Among Household Contacts Under the Age of Five in Mali.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2019Trial
- Resurgence of large-scale influenza A (H1N1) outbreaks: Modeling the interplay of transmission, loss of immunity, and vaccination.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2027Article
- Multi-source agent-based modeling to optimize influenza mitigation strategies in Hong Kong.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Impact of temporal patterns in working contacts on epidemic spread.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Relationship between household attributes and contact patterns in urban and rural South Africa.PloS one · 2026Article
- Spreading processes with mutations over multilayer networks.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Evaluating the effect of targeted strategies as control tools for hypervirulent meningococcal C outbreaks: a case study from Tuscany, Italy, 2015 to 2016.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2023Article
- Characterizing the transmission patterns of seasonal influenza in Italy: lessons from the last decade.BMC public health · 2022Article
- The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the health-seeking behaviour of an Asian population with acute respiratory infections in a densely populated community.BMC public health · 2021Article
- Inferring high-resolution human mixing patterns for disease modeling.Nature communications · 2021Article
- Linking key intervention timings to rapid declining effective reproduction number to quantify lessons against COVID-19.Frontiers of medicine · 2020Article
- Detecting critical slowing down in high-dimensional epidemiological systems.PLoS computational biology · 2020Article
- Forecasting influenza activity using self-adaptive AI model and multi-source data in Chongqing, China.EBioMedicine · 2019Article
- Reactive school closure weakens the network of social interactions and reduces the spread of influenza.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2019Article
- Comparison of methods to Estimate Basic Reproduction Number (Journal of research in medical sciences : the official journal of Isfahan University of Medical Sciences · 2019Article
- Measurability of the epidemic reproduction number in data-driven contact networks.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2018Article
- Article
- Detecting a Surprisingly Low Transmission Distance in the Early Phase of the 2009 Influenza Pandemic.Scientific reports · 2017Article
- The interplay between individual social behavior and clinical symptoms in small clustered groups.BMC infectious diseases · 2017Article
- Social Contact Structures and Time Use Patterns in the Manicaland Province of Zimbabwe.PloS one · 2017Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Evaluating the relative importance of different social contexts in which infection transmission occurs is critical for identifying optimal intervention strategies. Nonetheless, an overall picture of influenza transmission in different social contexts has yet to emerge. Here we provide estimates of the fraction of infections generated in different social contexts during the 2009 H1N1 pandemic in Italy by making use of a highly detailed individual-based model accounting for time use data and parametrized on the basis of observed age-specific seroprevalence. We found that 41.6% (95%CI: 39-43.7%) of infections occurred in households, 26.7% (95%CI: 21-33.2) in schools, 3.3% (95%CI: 1.7-5%) in workplaces, and 28.4% (95%CI: 24.6-31.9%) in the general community. The above estimates strongly depend on the lower susceptibility to infection of individuals 19+ years old compared to younger ones, estimated to be 0.2 (95%CI 0.12-0.28). We also found that school closure over the weekends contributed to decrease the effective reproduction number of about 8% and significantly affected the pattern of transmission. These results highlight the pivotal role played by schools in the transmission of the 2009 H1N1 influenza. They may be relevant in the evaluation of intervention options and, hence, for informing policy decisions.
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