Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25398967›Full record

Trial reportCirculation. Heart failure2015

Risk of heart failure among postmenopausal women: a secondary analysis of the randomized trial of vitamin D plus calcium of the women's health initiative.

Macarius M Donneyong, Carlton A Hornung, Kira C Taylor, Richard N Baumgartner, John A Myers, Charles B Eaton, Eiran Z Gorodeski, Liviu Klein, Lisa W Martin, James M Shikany and 3 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · bronzeAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Circulation. Heart failure, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT00000611 (Women's Health Initiative), which is not on this map. Cited by 26 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00000611 phase3completednot on this map

Women's Health Initiative (WHI)

TypeinterventionalSponsorNational Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI)ConditionsBone Diseases, Breast Neoplasms, Cardiovascular Diseases, Colonic NeoplasmsArmshormone replacement therapy, estrogens, progestins, estrogen replacement therapy, diet, fat-restricted
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 55 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Vitamin D-Parathyroid Hormone-Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 Axis and Cardiac Remodeling.American journal of cardiovascular drugs : drugs, devices, and other interventions · 2025
    Review
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  18. Role of Vitamin D in Cardiovascular Diseases.Endocrinology and metabolism clinics of North America · 2017
    Review
  19. Vitamin D and Heart Failure.Current heart failure reports · 2017
    Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 7 institutions in 1 country.

Macarius M DonneyongFrom the Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics (M.M.D.) and Department of Medicine (J.E.M.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, KY (M.M.D., C.A.H., K.C.T., R.N.B.); Department of Family Medicine, Brown University School of Medicine, Providence, RI (C.B.E.); Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, OH (E.Z.G.); Division of Cardiology, University of California, San Francisco (L.K.); Heart and Vascular Institute, George Washington University, Washington DC (L.W.M.); Division of Preventive Medicine, University of Alabama, Birmingham (J.M.S.); Department of Epidemiology, Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis (Y.S.); and Department of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester (W.L.). mdonneyong@partners.org.
Carlton A HornungFrom the Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics (M.M.D.) and Department of Medicine (J.E.M.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, KY (M.M.D., C.A.H., K.C.T., R.N.B.); Department of Family Medicine, Brown University School of Medicine, Providence, RI (C.B.E.); Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, OH (E.Z.G.); Division of Cardiology, University of California, San Francisco (L.K.); Heart and Vascular Institute, George Washington University, Washington DC (L.W.M.); Division of Preventive Medicine, University of Alabama, Birmingham (J.M.S.); Department of Epidemiology, Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis (Y.S.); and Department of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester (W.L.).
Kira C TaylorFrom the Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics (M.M.D.) and Department of Medicine (J.E.M.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, KY (M.M.D., C.A.H., K.C.T., R.N.B.); Department of Family Medicine, Brown University School of Medicine, Providence, RI (C.B.E.); Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, OH (E.Z.G.); Division of Cardiology, University of California, San Francisco (L.K.); Heart and Vascular Institute, George Washington University, Washington DC (L.W.M.); Division of Preventive Medicine, University of Alabama, Birmingham (J.M.S.); Department of Epidemiology, Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis (Y.S.); and Department of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester (W.L.).
Richard N BaumgartnerFrom the Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics (M.M.D.) and Department of Medicine (J.E.M.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, KY (M.M.D., C.A.H., K.C.T., R.N.B.); Department of Family Medicine, Brown University School of Medicine, Providence, RI (C.B.E.); Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, OH (E.Z.G.); Division of Cardiology, University of California, San Francisco (L.K.); Heart and Vascular Institute, George Washington University, Washington DC (L.W.M.); Division of Preventive Medicine, University of Alabama, Birmingham (J.M.S.); Department of Epidemiology, Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis (Y.S.); and Department of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester (W.L.).
John A MyersFrom the Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics (M.M.D.) and Department of Medicine (J.E.M.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, KY (M.M.D., C.A.H., K.C.T., R.N.B.); Department of Family Medicine, Brown University School of Medicine, Providence, RI (C.B.E.); Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, OH (E.Z.G.); Division of Cardiology, University of California, San Francisco (L.K.); Heart and Vascular Institute, George Washington University, Washington DC (L.W.M.); Division of Preventive Medicine, University of Alabama, Birmingham (J.M.S.); Department of Epidemiology, Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis (Y.S.); and Department of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester (W.L.).
Charles B EatonFrom the Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics (M.M.D.) and Department of Medicine (J.E.M.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, KY (M.M.D., C.A.H., K.C.T., R.N.B.); Department of Family Medicine, Brown University School of Medicine, Providence, RI (C.B.E.); Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, OH (E.Z.G.); Division of Cardiology, University of California, San Francisco (L.K.); Heart and Vascular Institute, George Washington University, Washington DC (L.W.M.); Division of Preventive Medicine, University of Alabama, Birmingham (J.M.S.); Department of Epidemiology, Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis (Y.S.); and Department of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester (W.L.).
Eiran Z GorodeskiFrom the Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics (M.M.D.) and Department of Medicine (J.E.M.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, KY (M.M.D., C.A.H., K.C.T., R.N.B.); Department of Family Medicine, Brown University School of Medicine, Providence, RI (C.B.E.); Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, OH (E.Z.G.); Division of Cardiology, University of California, San Francisco (L.K.); Heart and Vascular Institute, George Washington University, Washington DC (L.W.M.); Division of Preventive Medicine, University of Alabama, Birmingham (J.M.S.); Department of Epidemiology, Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis (Y.S.); and Department of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester (W.L.).
Liviu KleinFrom the Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics (M.M.D.) and Department of Medicine (J.E.M.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, KY (M.M.D., C.A.H., K.C.T., R.N.B.); Department of Family Medicine, Brown University School of Medicine, Providence, RI (C.B.E.); Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, OH (E.Z.G.); Division of Cardiology, University of California, San Francisco (L.K.); Heart and Vascular Institute, George Washington University, Washington DC (L.W.M.); Division of Preventive Medicine, University of Alabama, Birmingham (J.M.S.); Department of Epidemiology, Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis (Y.S.); and Department of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester (W.L.).
Lisa W MartinFrom the Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics (M.M.D.) and Department of Medicine (J.E.M.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, KY (M.M.D., C.A.H., K.C.T., R.N.B.); Department of Family Medicine, Brown University School of Medicine, Providence, RI (C.B.E.); Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, OH (E.Z.G.); Division of Cardiology, University of California, San Francisco (L.K.); Heart and Vascular Institute, George Washington University, Washington DC (L.W.M.); Division of Preventive Medicine, University of Alabama, Birmingham (J.M.S.); Department of Epidemiology, Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis (Y.S.); and Department of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester (W.L.).
James M ShikanyFrom the Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics (M.M.D.) and Department of Medicine (J.E.M.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, KY (M.M.D., C.A.H., K.C.T., R.N.B.); Department of Family Medicine, Brown University School of Medicine, Providence, RI (C.B.E.); Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, OH (E.Z.G.); Division of Cardiology, University of California, San Francisco (L.K.); Heart and Vascular Institute, George Washington University, Washington DC (L.W.M.); Division of Preventive Medicine, University of Alabama, Birmingham (J.M.S.); Department of Epidemiology, Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis (Y.S.); and Department of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester (W.L.).
Yiqing SongFrom the Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics (M.M.D.) and Department of Medicine (J.E.M.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, KY (M.M.D., C.A.H., K.C.T., R.N.B.); Department of Family Medicine, Brown University School of Medicine, Providence, RI (C.B.E.); Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, OH (E.Z.G.); Division of Cardiology, University of California, San Francisco (L.K.); Heart and Vascular Institute, George Washington University, Washington DC (L.W.M.); Division of Preventive Medicine, University of Alabama, Birmingham (J.M.S.); Department of Epidemiology, Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis (Y.S.); and Department of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester (W.L.).
Wenjun LiFrom the Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics (M.M.D.) and Department of Medicine (J.E.M.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, KY (M.M.D., C.A.H., K.C.T., R.N.B.); Department of Family Medicine, Brown University School of Medicine, Providence, RI (C.B.E.); Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, OH (E.Z.G.); Division of Cardiology, University of California, San Francisco (L.K.); Heart and Vascular Institute, George Washington University, Washington DC (L.W.M.); Division of Preventive Medicine, University of Alabama, Birmingham (J.M.S.); Department of Epidemiology, Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis (Y.S.); and Department of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester (W.L.).
JoAnn E MansonFrom the Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics (M.M.D.) and Department of Medicine (J.E.M.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, KY (M.M.D., C.A.H., K.C.T., R.N.B.); Department of Family Medicine, Brown University School of Medicine, Providence, RI (C.B.E.); Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, OH (E.Z.G.); Division of Cardiology, University of California, San Francisco (L.K.); Heart and Vascular Institute, George Washington University, Washington DC (L.W.M.); Division of Preventive Medicine, University of Alabama, Birmingham (J.M.S.); Department of Epidemiology, Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis (Y.S.); and Department of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester (W.L.).
University of Alabama at Birmingham · USBrown University · USCleveland Clinic · USIndiana University – Purdue University Indianapolis · USGeorge Washington University · USHarvard University · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · US

Funding

The VITamin D and OmegA-3 TriaL (VITAL)R01CA138962 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI BURING, JULIE E., MANSON, JOANN ELISABETH · 2015 to 2019
$20.9M
VANGUARD CENTER FOR WOMEN'S HEALTH INITIATIVEN01WH032109 · WH · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI MANSON, JOANN ELISABETH · 1993 to 2000
$401k
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA138962NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100001INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100002INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100003INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100004INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100046CNIA NIH HHS HHSN271201100004CWHI NIH HHS HHSN268201100001CWHI NIH HHS HHSN268201100002CWHI NIH HHS HHSN268201100003CWHI NIH HHS HHSN268201100004CWHI NIH HHS N01 WH032109
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundVitamin D supplementation may be an inexpensive intervention to reduce heart failure (HF) incidence. However, there are insufficient data to support this hypothesis. This study evaluates whether vitamin D plus calcium (CaD) supplementation is associated with lower rates of HF in postmenopausal women and whether the effects differ between those at high versus low risk for HF. METHODS AND

resultsAnalyses were restricted to 35 983 (of original 36 282) women aged 50 to 79 years old in the Women's Health Initiative randomized trial of CaD supplementation who were randomized 1:1 in a double-blinded fashion to receive 1000 mg/d of calcium plus 400 IU/d of vitamin D3 or placebo. Overall, 744 adjudicated incident HF cases (intervention, 363; control, 381) occurred during a median follow-up of 7.1 (interquartile range, 1.6) years. CaD supplementation, compared with placebo, was not associated with reduced HF risk in the overall population, hazard ratio, 0.95; P=0.46. However, CaD supplementation had differential effects (P interaction=0.005) in subgroups stratified by baseline risk status of HF defined by the presence (high risk=17 449) or absence (low risk=18 534) of pre-existing HF precursors including coronary heart diseases, diabetes mellitus, or hypertension: 37% (hazard ratio, 0.63 [95% confidence interval, 0.46-0.87]) lower risk of HF in the low-risk versus hazard ratio, 1.06; P=0.51, in the high-risk subgroups.

conclusionsCaD supplementation did not significantly reduce HF incidence in the overall cohort, however, it was beneficial among postmenopausal women without major HF precursors while of little value in high-risk subgroups. Additional studies are warranted to confirm these findings and investigate the underlying mechanism. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00000611.

Indexed as

Dietary SupplementsPostmenopauseWomen's HealthAgedCalcium, DietaryExerciseExercise TestFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHeart FailureHemodynamicsHumansMiddle AgedProspective StudiesTreatment OutcomeVitamin DCalcium, DietaryVitamin DVitaminscalciumclinical trialheart failurevitamin Dwomen

Identifiers

PMID25398967
PMCPMC4303506
OpenAlexW2143680485

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.