Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25381376›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2014

Trends in concurrency, polygyny, and multiple sex partnerships during a decade of declining HIV prevalence in eastern Zimbabwe.

Jeffrey W Eaton, Felicia R Takavarasha, Christina M Schumacher, Owen Mugurungi, Geoffrey P Garnett, Constance Nyamukapa, Simon Gregson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jeffrey W EatonDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, United Kingdom.
Felicia R TakavarashaBiomedical Research and Training Institute.
Christina M SchumacherDepartment of Pediatrics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland.
Owen MugurungiAIDS and TB Unit, Zimbabwe Ministry of Health and Child Welfare, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Geoffrey P GarnettGlobal Health Program, Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, Washington.
Constance NyamukapaDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, United Kingdom Biomedical Research and Training Institute.
Simon GregsonDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, United Kingdom Biomedical Research and Training Institute.

Funding

Wellcome Trust 050517/z/97abc
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundObserved declines in the prevalence of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in Zimbabwe have been attributed to population-level reductions in sexual partnership numbers. However, it remains unknown whether certain types of sex partnerships were more important to this decline. Particular debate surrounds the epidemiologic importance of polygyny (the practice of having multiple wives).

methodsWe analyze changes in reported multiple partnerships, nonmarital concurrency, and polygyny in eastern Zimbabwe during a period of declining HIV prevalence, from 1998 to 2011. Trends are reported for adult men (age, 17-54 years) and women (age, 15-49 years) from 5 survey rounds of the Manicaland HIV/STD Prevention Project, a general-population open cohort study.

resultsAt baseline, 34.2% of men reported multiple partnerships, 11.9% reported nonmarital concurrency, and 4.6% reported polygyny. Among women, 4.6% and 1.8% reported multiple partnerships and concurrency, respectively. All 3 partnership indicators declined by similar relative amounts (around 60%-70%) over the period. Polygyny accounted for around 25% of male concurrency. Compared with monogamously married men, polygynous men reported higher levels of subsequent divorce/separation (adjusted relative risk [RR], 2.92; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.87-4.55) and casual sex partnerships (adjusted RR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.41-1.88).

conclusionsNo indicator clearly dominated declines in partnerships. Polygyny was surprisingly unstable and, in this population, should not be considered a safe form of concurrency.

Indexed as

Extramarital RelationsAdolescentAdultAge DistributionDivorceFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMarriageMiddle AgedPrevalenceRiskYoung AdultZimbabwebehavior changeconcurrencydivorceHIVmultiple partnershipspolygynyZimbabwe

Identifiers

PMID25381376
PMCPMC4231639

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.