Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25371480›Full record

ArticleJournal of epidemiology and community health2015

First population-level effectiveness evaluation of a national programme to prevent HIV transmission from mother to child, South Africa.

Ameena E Goga, Thu-Ha Dinh, Debra J Jackson, Carl Lombard, Kevin P Delaney, Adrian Puren, Gayle Sherman, Selamawit Woldesenbet, Vundli Ramokolo, Siobhan Crowley and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of epidemiology and community health, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 66 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
66citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

66 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  15. Factors Associated With Peripartum Virologic Suppression in Eastern Cape Province, South Africa: A Retrospective Cross-Sectional Analysis.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
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6 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Ameena E GogaHealth Systems Research Unit, Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Kalafong Hospital, University of Pretoria, Hatfield, Pretoria, South Africa.
Thu-Ha DinhDivision of Global HIV/AIDS, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Center for Global Health, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Debra J JacksonSchool of Public Health, University of the Western Cape, Bellville, South Africa UNICEF New York, New York, USA.
Carl LombardBiostatistics Unit, Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Cape Town, South Africa.
Kevin P DelaneyDivision of HIV/AID Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for HIV, Hepatitis, STD, and Tuberculosis Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7562-7647
Adrian PurenDivision of National Health Laboratory Services, National institute of Communicable Diseases, Sandringham, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Gayle ShermanDivision of National Health Laboratory Services, National institute of Communicable Diseases, Sandringham, Johannesburg, South Africa Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Witwatersrand, Parktown, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Selamawit WoldesenbetHealth Systems Research Unit, Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa.
Vundli RamokoloHealth Systems Research Unit, Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa.
Siobhan CrowleyAffiliated with UNICEF South Africa at the time of the study. Currently affiliated to Elma Philanthropies, New York USA, Pretoria, South Africa.
Tanya DohertyHealth Systems Research Unit, Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa School of Public Health, University of the Western Cape, Bellville, South Africa School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg South Africa.
Mickey ChopraUNICEF New York, New York, USA.
Nathan ShafferWorld Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Yogan PillayNational Department of Health, Pretoria, South Africa.
South Africa PMTCT Evaluation Team

Funding

PS08-854, COOPERATIVE AGREEMENT TO THE MRC OF SOUTH AFRICAU2GPS001137 · PS · MEDICAL RESEARCH COUNCIL OF SOUTH AFRICA · PI BHAGWANDIN, NIRESH · 2008 to 2012
$51.1M
Medical Research CouncilNCHHSTP CDC HHS U2G PS001137PHS HHS 1U2GPS001137-02PHS HHS 1U2GPS001137-03World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere is a paucity of data on the national population-level effectiveness of preventing mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) programmes in high-HIV-prevalence, resource-limited settings. We assessed national PMTCT impact in South Africa (SA), 2010.

methodsA facility-based survey was conducted using a stratified multistage, cluster sampling design. A nationally representative sample of 10 178 infants aged 4-8 weeks was recruited from 565 clinics. Data collection included caregiver interviews, record reviews and infant dried blood spots to identify HIV-exposed infants (HEI) and HIV-infected infants. During analysis, self-reported antiretroviral (ARV) use was categorised: 1a: triple ARV treatment; 1b: azidothymidine >10 weeks; 2a: azidothymidine ≤10 weeks; 2b: incomplete ARV prophylaxis; 3a: no antenatal ARV and 3b: missing ARV information. Findings were adjusted for non-response, survey design and weighted for live-birth distributions.

resultsNationally, 32% of live infants were HEI; early mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) was 3.5% (95% CI 2.9% to 4.1%). In total 29.4% HEI were born to mothers on triple ARV treatment (category 1a) 55.6% on prophylaxis (1b, 2a, 2b), 9.5% received no antenatal ARV (3a) and 5.5% had missing ARV information (3b). Controlling for other factors groups, 1b and 2a had similar MTCT to 1a (Ref; adjusted OR (AOR) for 1b, 0.98, 0.52 to 1.83; and 2a, 1.31, 0.69 to 2.48). MTCT was higher in group 2b (AOR 3.68, 1.69 to 7.97). Within group 3a, early MTCT was highest among breastfeeding mothers 11.50% (4.67% to 18.33%) for exclusive breast feeding, 11.90% (7.45% to 16.35%) for mixed breast feeding, and 3.45% (0.53% to 6.35%) for no breast feeding). Antiretroviral therapy or >10 weeks prophylaxis negated this difference (MTCT 3.94%, 1.98% to 5.90%; 2.07%, 0.55% to 3.60% and 2.11%, 1.28% to 2.95%, respectively).

conclusionsSA, a high-HIV-prevalence middle income country achieved <5% MTCT by 4-8 weeks post partum. The long-term impact on PMTCT on HIV-free survival needs urgent assessment.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsBreast FeedingFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansInfantInfant, NewbornInfectious Disease Transmission, VerticalMothersNational Health ProgramsOutcome Assessment, Health CarePregnancyPregnancy Complications, InfectiousPrevalenceSouth AfricaAnti-HIV AgentsCHILD HEALTHHIVPERINATAL EPIDEMIOLOGYPUBLIC HEALTHSURVEILLANCE

Identifiers

PMID25371480
PMCPMC4345523

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.