Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25370179›Full record

ArticleJournal of assisted reproduction and genetics2015

To what extent does Anti-Mullerian Hormone contribute to a better prediction of live birth after IVF?

Catherine Rongieres, Carolina Colella, Philippe Lehert

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of assisted reproduction and genetics, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

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2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Catherine RongieresART Centre, Strasbourg, France.
Carolina Colella
Philippe Lehert

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWe assessed the predictive value added by Anti-Mullerian Hormone (AMH) to currently validated live birth (LB) prediction models.

methodsBased on recent data from our center, we compared the external validity of the Templeton Model (TM) and its recent improvement (TMA) to select our model of reference. The added predictive value of AMH was assessed in testing the likelihood ratio significance and the Net Reclassification Index (NRI). The surrogate utility of AMH was tested by conducting an exploratory stepwise logistic regression.

resultsBased on 715 cycles, the original TM had poor performances (auROC C = 0.61 [0.58, 0.66], improving by fitting TM to our data (C = 0.71[0.66, 0.75]. TMA fitting proved better (C = 0.76; 95 %CI: 0.71, 0.80) and was selected as model of reference. Adding AMH to TMA or TM had no effect on discrimination (C = 0.76; 95 %CI: 0.72, 0.80), the likelihood ratio test was significant (p = 0.023), but the NRI was not (6.7 %; p = 0.055). A stepwise exploratory logistic regression identified the effects of age, previous IVF resulting in LB, time trend and AMH, leading to a prediction model reduced to four predictors (C = 0.75 [0.70, 0.81]).

conclusionThe added predictive value of AMH is limited. A possible surrogate/simplifying effect of AMH was found in eliminating 9/13 predictors from the model of reference. We conclude that whereas AMH does not add significant predictive value to the existing model, it contributes to simplifying the equation to reliable, easy to collect, and available in all databases predictors: age, AMH, time trend and female previous fertility history.

Indexed as

Fertilization in VitroLive BirthAdultAnti-Mullerian HormoneFemaleHumansInfertility, FemaleMalePredictive Value of TestsPregnancyAnti-Mullerian Hormone

Identifiers

PMID25370179
PMCPMC4294874

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