Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25326816›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2014

Choosing algorithms for TB screening: a modelling study to compare yield, predictive value and diagnostic burden.

Anna H Van't Hoog, Ikushi Onozaki, Knut Lonnroth

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 48 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
48citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

48 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 67 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Diagnostic accuracy of C-reactive protein for active pulmonary tuberculosis: a meta-analysis.The international journal of tuberculosis and lung disease : the official journal of the International Union against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease · 2017
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  8. Projecting the Impact and Costs of Near Point-of-Care Tuberculosis Screening Assays in Community-based Active Case Finding.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
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  16. Pre-treatment chest X-ray stability duration and tuberculosis disease in San Diego, California, 2012-2017.Journal of clinical tuberculosis and other mycobacterial diseases · 2022
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  17. Use of chest radiography screening for TB: a re-evaluation of the Kolín study.The international journal of tuberculosis and lung disease : the official journal of the International Union against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease · 2022
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  18. Country differences and determinants of yield in programmatic migrant TB screening in four European countries.The international journal of tuberculosis and lung disease : the official journal of the International Union against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Anna H Van't HoogAcademic Medical Centre, Department of Global Health, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. a.h.vanthoog@aighd.org.
Ikushi Onozaki
Knut Lonnroth
World Health Organization · CHUniversity of Amsterdam · NL

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo inform the choice of an appropriate screening and diagnostic algorithm for tuberculosis (TB) screening initiatives in different epidemiological settings, we compare algorithms composed of currently available methods.

methodsOf twelve algorithms composed of screening for symptoms (prolonged cough or any TB symptom) and/or chest radiography abnormalities, and either sputum-smear microscopy (SSM) or Xpert MTB/RIF (XP) as confirmatory test we model algorithm outcomes and summarize the yield, number needed to screen (NNS) and positive predictive value (PPV) for different levels of TB prevalence.

resultsScreening for prolonged cough has low yield, 22% if confirmatory testing is by SSM and 32% if XP, and a high NNS, exceeding 1000 if TB prevalence is ≤0.5%. Due to low specificity the PPV of screening for any TB symptom followed by SSM is less than 50%, even if TB prevalence is 2%. CXR screening for TB abnormalities followed by XP has the highest case detection (87%) and lowest NNS, but is resource intensive. CXR as a second screen for symptom screen positives improves efficiency.

conclusionsThe ideal algorithm does not exist. The choice will be setting specific, for which this study provides guidance. Generally an algorithm composed of CXR screening followed by confirmatory testing with XP can achieve the lowest NNS and highest PPV, and is the least amenable to setting-specific variation. However resource requirements for tests and equipment may be prohibitive in some settings and a reason to opt for symptom screening and SSM. To better inform disease control programs we need empirical data to confirm the modeled yield, cost-effectiveness studies, transmission models and a better screening test.

Indexed as

Cost of IllnessHumansMass ScreeningSensitivity and SpecificityTuberculosis, Pulmonary

Identifiers

PMID25326816
PMCPMC4287425
OpenAlexW2002335899

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.