Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25314140›Full record

SynthesisPloS one2014

Prediction of gastric cancer development by serum pepsinogen test and Helicobacter pylori seropositivity in Eastern Asians: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Teruhiko Terasawa, Hiroshi Nishida, Katsuaki Kato, Isao Miyashiro, Takaki Yoshikawa, Reo Takaku, Chisato Hamashima

Open access · goldAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 54 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
54citing papers in PubMed, 7 pooled it
8.5field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

54 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 96 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Pooled it
  3. Guideline
  4. BMJ open · 2019
    Pooled it
  5. Guideline
  6. Simulation Models in Gastric Cancer Screening: A Systematic ReviewAsian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP · 2018
    Pooled it
  7. Pooled it
  8. Trial
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Screening for and surveillance of premalignant conditions of the stomach.Best practice & research. Clinical gastroenterology · 2025
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Early Gastric Cancer: Update on Prevention, Diagnosis and Treatment.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Teruhiko TerasawaSection of General Internal Medicine, Department of Emergency and General Internal Medicine, Fujita Health University School of Medicine, Toyoake, Aichi, Japan; Center for Clinical Evidence Synthesis, Institute for Clinical Research and Health Policy Studies, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Hiroshi NishidaDepartment of Health Information and Statistics, Panasonic Health Care Center, Osaka, Japan.
Katsuaki KatoCancer Detection Center, Miyagi Cancer Society, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan.
Isao MiyashiroDepartment of Surgery, Osaka Medical Center for Cancer and Cardiovascular Diseases, Osaka, Japan.
Takaki YoshikawaDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Kanagawa Cancer Center, Kanagawa, Japan.
Reo TakakuInstitute for Health Economics and Policy, Tokyo, Japan.
Chisato HamashimaCancer Screening Assessment and Management Division, Research Center for Cancer Prevention and Screening, National Cancer Center, Tokyo, Japan.
Fujita Health University · JPInstitute for Health Economics and Policy · JPJapan Cancer Society · JPKanagawa Cancer CenterOsaka Medical Center for Cancer and Cardiovascular Diseases · JPPanasonic (Japan) · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo identify high-risk groups for gastric cancer in presumptively healthy populations, several studies have investigated the predictive ability of the pepsinogen test, H. Pylori antibodies, and a risk-prediction model based on these two tests. To investigate whether these tests accurately predict gastric cancer development, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis.

methodsPubMed and other electronic databases were searched for cohort studies published in English or Japanese from January 1985 through December 2013. Six reviewers identified eligible studies, and at least two investigators extracted data on population and study-design characteristics, quality items, and outcomes of interest. Meta-analyses were performed on non-overlapping studies.

resultsNine prospective cohorts from Eastern Asia reported in 12 publications, including 33,741 asymptomatic middle-aged participants of gastric cancer screening, were eligible. For discriminating between asymptomatic adults at high and low risk of gastric cancer, the pepsinogen test (summary hazard ratio [HR], 3.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.7-4.7; I2 = 0%) and H. pylori antibodies (summary HR, 3.2; 95% CI, 2.0-5.2; I2 = 0%) were statistically significant predictors as standalone tests. Although the risk-prediction model was in general moderately accurate in separating asymptomatic adults into four risk groups (summary c-statistic, 0.71; 95% CI: 0.68-0.73; I2 = 7%), calibration seemed to be poor. The study validity was generally limited.

conclusionsThe serum pepsinogen test, H. pylori antibodies, and the four-risk-group model for predicting gastric cancer development seem to have the potential to stratify middle-aged presumptively healthy adults. Future research needs to focus on comparative studies to evaluate the impact of screening programs adopting these tests. Also, validation, preferably with model updating, is necessary to see whether the current model performance is transferable to different populations.

Indexed as

Antibodies, BacterialAsia, EasternAsian PeopleHelicobacter InfectionsHelicobacter pyloriHumansPepsinogen AStomach NeoplasmsAntibodies, BacterialPepsinogen A

Identifiers

PMID25314140
PMCPMC4196955
OpenAlexW2078469677

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.