ArticleObesity facts2014
Increased predictive ability of BMI but not other risk factors with time in men: 39-year follow-up of total mortality in the Oslo Study.
Article in Obesity facts, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Non-occupational physical activity and risk of cardiovascular disease, cancer and mortality outcomes: a dose-response meta-analysis of large prospective studies.British journal of sports medicine · 2023Pooled it
- Impact of follow-up time and analytical approaches to account for reverse causality on the association between physical activity and health outcomes in UK Biobank.International journal of epidemiology · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectiveRisk factor associations to mortality may change, in part due to removal of high-risk persons. We compared strengths of association and ability of risk factors to predict total mortality across short (<15 years), medium (15-29 years) and long (30-39 years) follow-up.
methodsCardiovascular risk factors were measured in 1972-1973 in the Oslo Study among 14,846 men born in 1923-1932. Relationships of risk factors to mortality (to 2011) were analyzed using Cox regression models, and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) were estimated.
resultsBMI was the only factor that increased strength of association with elapsed time (hazard ratio for ≥35 kg/m(2) vs. 22.5-24.9 kg/m(2): 1.25 (95% CI 0.73-2.17), 1.51 (95% CI 1.06-2.16) and 3.73 (95% CI 2.33-5.98) for <15, 15-29 and 30-39 years, respectively). Other factors lost predictive ability with time. Cigarette smoking was the strongest predictor in all periods. Serum lipids and systolic blood pressure increased risk in most periods, and moderate physical activity was protective to 29 years, but these factors and BMI contributed minimally to ROC. DISCUSSION: Risk factors differed in association strengths and ability to predict mortality over four decades. BMI strengthened its association with time, while cigarette smoking was strongest in all periods.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.