Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25298325›Full record

Observational studyThorax2015

Diagnostic accuracy of pulmonary host inflammatory mediators in the exclusion of ventilator-acquired pneumonia.

Thomas P Hellyer, Andrew Conway Morris, Daniel F McAuley, Timothy S Walsh, Niall H Anderson, Suveer Singh, Paul Dark, Alistair I Roy, Simon V Baudouin, Stephen E Wright and 20 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Thorax, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 43 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
43citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
4.5field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

43 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 86 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Biomarkers in lower respiratory tract samples in the diagnosis of ventilator-associated pneumonia: a systematic review.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

30 authors at 18 institutions in 3 countries.

Thomas P HellyerInstitute of Cellular Medicine, Medical School, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5346-7411
Andrew Conway MorrisMRC Centre for Inflammation Research, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK Department of Anaesthesia, University of Cambridge, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, UK.
Daniel F McAuleyCentre for Infection and Immunity, Health Sciences Building, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK Regional Intensive Care Unit, Royal Victoria Hospital, Belfast, UK.
Timothy S WalshMRC Centre for Inflammation Research, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Niall H AndersonCentre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Medical School, Edinburgh, UK.
Suveer SinghIntensive Care Unit, Chelsea and Westminster Hospital, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Paul DarkInstitute of Inflammation and Repair, University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Sciences Centre & Intensive Care Unit, Salford Royal NHS Foundation Trust, Greater Manchester, UK.
Alistair I RoyIntegrated Critical Care Unit, Sunderland Royal Hospital, Sunderland, UK.
Simon V BaudouinInstitute of Cellular Medicine, Medical School, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK Intensive Care Unit, Royal Victoria Infirmary, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Stephen E WrightIntensive Care Unit, Freeman Hospital, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Gavin D PerkinsUniversity of Warwick and Heart of England NHS Foundation Trust, Coventry, UK.
Kallirroi KefalaIntensive Care Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Melinda JeffelsNewcastle Clinical Trials Unit, William Leech Building, Medical School, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Ronan McMullanDepartment of Medical Microbiology, Kelvin Building, The Royal Hospitals, Belfast, UK.
Cecilia M O'KaneCentre for Infection and Immunity, Health Sciences Building, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK.
Craig SpencerIntensive Care Unit, Lancashire Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Preston, UK.
Shondipon LahaIntensive Care Unit, Lancashire Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Preston, UK.
Nicole RobinIntensive Care Unit, Countess of Chester NHS Trust, Chester, UK.
Savita GossainPublic Health Laboratory, Heart of England NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, UK.
Kate GouldPublic Health England & Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Freeman Hospital, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Marie-Hélène Ruchaud-SparaganoInstitute of Cellular Medicine, Medical School, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Jonathan ScottInstitute of Cellular Medicine, Medical School, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Emma M BrowneInstitute of Cellular Medicine, Medical School, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
James G MacFarlaneInstitute of Cellular Medicine, Medical School, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Sarah WiscombeInstitute of Cellular Medicine, Medical School, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
John D WiddringtonInstitute of Cellular Medicine, Medical School, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Ian DimmickBioscience Centre (West Wing), International Centre for Life, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Ian F LaurensonDepartment of Clinical Microbiology, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Frans NauwelaersBecton Dickinson Biosciences, Erembodegem (Aalst), Belgium.
A John SimpsonInstitute of Cellular Medicine, Medical School, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Newcastle University · GBEdinburgh Royal Infirmary · GBHeart of England NHS Foundation Trust · GBLancashire Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust · GBQueen's University Belfast · GBBD Biosciences (United States) · USCentre for Inflammation Research · GBCentre for Life · GBChelsea and Westminster Hospital · GBCountess of Chester Hospital NHS Foundation Trust · GBFreeman Hospital · GBNewcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust · GBRoyal Victoria Infirmary · GBSalford Royal NHS Foundation Trust · GBSunderland Royal Hospital · GBUniversity of Cambridge · GBUniversity of Edinburgh · GBUniversity of Ulster · GB

Funding

Chief Scientist Office CAF/08/13Department of Health 0510/078Medical Research Council G0901697Wellcome Trust 094949
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundExcessive use of empirical antibiotics is common in critically ill patients. Rapid biomarker-based exclusion of infection may improve antibiotic stewardship in ventilator-acquired pneumonia (VAP). However, successful validation of the usefulness of potential markers in this setting is exceptionally rare.

objectivesWe sought to validate the capacity for specific host inflammatory mediators to exclude pneumonia in patients with suspected VAP.

methodsA prospective, multicentre, validation study of patients with suspected VAP was conducted in 12 intensive care units. VAP was confirmed following bronchoscopy by culture of a potential pathogen in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) at >10(4) colony forming units per millilitre (cfu/mL). Interleukin-1 beta (IL-1β), IL-8, matrix metalloproteinase-8 (MMP-8), MMP-9 and human neutrophil elastase (HNE) were quantified in BALF. Diagnostic utility was determined for biomarkers individually and in combination.

resultsPaired BALF culture and biomarker results were available for 150 patients. 53 patients (35%) had VAP and 97 (65%) patients formed the non-VAP group. All biomarkers were significantly higher in the VAP group (p<0.001). The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve for IL-1β was 0.81; IL-8, 0.74; MMP-8, 0.76; MMP-9, 0.79 and HNE, 0.78. A combination of IL-1β and IL-8, at the optimal cut-point, excluded VAP with a sensitivity of 100%, a specificity of 44.3% and a post-test probability of 0% (95% CI 0% to 9.2%).

conclusionsLow BALF IL-1β in combination with IL-8 confidently excludes VAP and could form a rapid biomarker-based rule-out test, with the potential to improve antibiotic stewardship.

Indexed as

BiomarkersBronchoalveolar Lavage FluidCytokinesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedPneumonia, Ventilator-AssociatedProspective StudiesReproducibility of ResultsBiomarkersCytokinesPneumonia

Identifiers

PMID25298325
PMCPMC4992819
OpenAlexW2118183328

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.