ArticlePloS one2014
Modeling dynamics of culex pipiens complex populations and assessing abatement strategies for West Nile Virus.
Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It has been retracted, and should not be counted. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 40 citations in OpenAlex.
- Mechanistic models for West Nile virus transmission: a systematic review of features, aims and parametrization.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Pooled it
- A real-time forecasting and estimating system of West Nile virus: a case study of the 2023 WNV outbreak in Colorado, USA.Royal Society open science · 2024Article
- The potential role of the Asian bush mosquito Aedes japonicus as spillover vector for West Nile virus in the Netherlands.Parasites & vectors · 2024Article
- Retraction: Modeling Dynamics of Culex pipiens Complex Populations and Assessing Abatement Strategies for West Nile Virus.PloS one · 2024Article
- Quantifying the invasion risk of West Nile virus: Insights from a multi-vector and multi-host SEIR model.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2023Article
- Assessing the risk of West Nile Virus seasonal outbreaks and its vector control in an urbanizing bird community: An integrative R0-modelling study in the city of Merida, Mexico.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2023Article
- Reducing West Nile Virus Risk Through Vector Management.Journal of medical entomology · 2019Review
- Modelling diapause in mosquito population growth.Journal of mathematical biology · 2019Article
- Breeding Site Characteristics and Associated Factors ofInternational journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Article
- Review
- Ecology of West Nile virus across four European countries: empirical modelling of the Culex pipiens abundance dynamics as a function of weather.Parasites & vectors · 2017Article
- Vector-borne diseases.EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2017Article
- Wolbachia Endobacteria in Natural Populations of Culex pipiens of Iran and Its Phylogenetic Congruence.Journal of arthropod-borne diseases · 2016Article
- Estimating biologically relevant parameters under uncertainty for experimental within-host murine West Nile virus infection.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2016Article
- Article
- Small-Scale Trials Suggest Increasing Applications of Natular™ XRT and Natular™ T30 Larvicide Tablets May Not Improve Mosquito Reduction in Some Catch Basins.Environmental health insights · 2016Article
- Risk factors for West Nile virus infection and disease in populations and individuals.Expert review of anti-infective therapy · 2015Review
Corrections and comments
- Retraction · 2024-05-17Concerns/Issues about Data · Concerns/Issues about Results and/or Conclusions · Investigation by Journal/Publisher · Investigation by Third Party · Unreliable Data · Unreliable Results and/or Conclusions ·
- Retracted
Authors and funding
5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The primary mosquito species associated with underground stormwater systems in the United States are the Culex pipiens complex species. This group represents important vectors of West Nile virus (WNV) throughout regions of the continental U.S. In this study, we designed a mathematical model and compared it with surveillance data for the Cx. pipiens complex collected in Beaufort County, South Carolina. Based on the best fit of the model to the data, we estimated parameters associated with the effectiveness of public health insecticide (adulticide) treatments (primarily pyrethrin products) as well as the birth, maturation, and death rates of immature and adult Cx. pipiens complex mosquitoes. We used these estimates for modeling the spread of WNV to obtain more reliable disease outbreak predictions and performed numerical simulations to test various mosquito abatement strategies. We demonstrated that insecticide treatments produced significant reductions in the Cx. pipiens complex populations. However, abatement efforts were effective for approximately one day and the vector mosquitoes rebounded until the next treatment. These results suggest that frequent insecticide applications are necessary to control these mosquitoes. We derived the basic reproductive number (ℜ0) to predict the conditions under which disease outbreaks are likely to occur and to evaluate mosquito abatement strategies. We concluded that enhancing the mosquito death rate results in lower values of ℜ0, and if ℜ0<1, then an epidemic will not occur. Our modeling results provide insights about control strategies of the vector populations and, consequently, a potential decrease in the risk of a WNV outbreak.
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.