Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25193057›Full record

ArticleJournal of the Royal Society of Medicine2014

Surgeon length of service and risk-adjusted outcomes: linked observational analysis of the UK National Adult Cardiac Surgery Audit Registry and General Medical Council Register.

Graeme L Hickey, Stuart W Grant, Nick Freemantle, David Cunningham, Christopher M Munsch, Steven A Livesey, James Roxburgh, Iain Buchan, Ben Bridgewater

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Article
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  4. Age may wither you.Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine · 2014
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

Graeme L HickeyCentre for Health Informatics, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, UK National Institute for Cardiovascular Outcomes Research (NICOR), University College London, London W1T 7HA, UK.
Stuart W GrantNational Institute for Cardiovascular Outcomes Research (NICOR), University College London, London W1T 7HA, UK Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, University of Manchester, University Hospital of South Manchester, Manchester M23 9LT, UK.
Nick FreemantleDepartment of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London NW3 2PF, UK.
David CunninghamNational Institute for Cardiovascular Outcomes Research (NICOR), University College London, London W1T 7HA, UK.
Christopher M MunschDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Leeds General Infirmary, Leeds LS1 3EX, UK.
Steven A LiveseyDepartment of Cardiac Surgery, University Hospital Southampton, Southampton SO16 6YD, UK.
James RoxburghDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery, St Thomas' Hospital, London SE1 7EH, UK.
Iain BuchanCentre for Health Informatics, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, UK.
Ben BridgewaterCentre for Health Informatics, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, UK National Institute for Cardiovascular Outcomes Research (NICOR), University College London, London W1T 7HA, UK Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London NW3 2PF, UK ben.bridgewater@uhsm.nhs.uk.
National Institute for Health Research · GBManchester Academic Health Science Centre · GBLeeds General Infirmary · GBSt Thomas' Hospital · GBUniversity College London · GBUniversity Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_13042Medical Research Council MR/K006665/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo explore the relationship between in-hospital mortality following adult cardiac surgery and the time since primary clinical qualification for the responsible consultant cardiac surgeon (a proxy for experience).

designRetrospective analysis of prospectively collected national registry data over a 10-year period using mixed-effects multiple logistic regression modelling. Surgeon experience was defined as the time between the date of surgery and award of primary clinical qualification.

settingUK National Health Service hospitals performing cardiac surgery between January 2003 and December 2012.

participantsAll patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafts and/or valve surgery under the care of a consultant cardiac surgeon.

main outcome measuresAll-cause in-hospital mortality.

resultsA total of 292,973 operations performed by 273 consultant surgeons (with lengths of service from 11.2 to 42.0 years) were included. Crude mortality increased approximately linearly until 33 years service, before decreasing. After adjusting for case-mix and year of surgery, there remained a statistically significant (p=0.002) association between length of service and in-hospital mortality (odds ratio 1.013; 95% CI 1.005-1.021 for each year of 'experience').

conclusionsConsultant cardiac surgeons take on increasingly complex surgery as they gain experience. With this progression, the incidence of adverse outcomes is expected to increase, as is demonstrated in this study. After adjusting for case-mix using the EuroSCORE, we observed an increased risk of mortality in patients operated on by longer serving surgeons. This finding may reflect under-adjustment for risk, unmeasured confounding or a real association. Further research into outcomes over the time course of surgeon's careers is required.

Indexed as

Hospital MortalityPhysiciansThoracic SurgeryAdultAgedCardiac Surgical ProceduresClinical CompetenceConsultantsCoronary Artery BypassFemaleHeart ValvesHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMedical AuditMiddle Agedauditcardiac surgeryclinical experienceclinical performanceGeneral Medical Council registerlength of service

Identifiers

PMID25193057
PMCPMC4206624
OpenAlexW2157900929

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.