Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25184809›Full record

ArticlePloS one2014

The association of CHA2DS2-VASc score and blood biomarkers with ischemic stroke outcomes: the Belgrade stroke study.

Tatjana S Potpara, Marija M Polovina, Dijana Djikic, Jelena M Marinkovic, Nikola Kocev, Gregory Y H Lip

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Prognostic Hemostasis Biomarkers in Acute Ischemic Stroke.Arteriosclerosis, thrombosis, and vascular biology · 2019
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Role of CHAAnnals of medicine and surgery (2012) · 2025
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Coagulation biomarkers for ischemic stroke.Research and practice in thrombosis and haemostasis · 2023
    Article
  7. Observational
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Tatjana S PotparaFaculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia; Cardiology Clinic, Clinical Center of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia.
Marija M PolovinaCardiology Clinic, Clinical Center of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia.
Dijana DjikicCardiology Clinic, Clinical Center of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia; University Clinical Centre Gracanica, Kosovo, Serbia.
Jelena M MarinkovicInstitute for Medical Statistic and Informatic, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia.
Nikola KocevInstitute for Medical Statistic and Informatic, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia.
Gregory Y H LipFaculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia; University of Birmingham Centre for Cardiovascular Sciences, City Hospital, Birmingham, United Kingdom.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMany blood biomarkers have a positive association with stroke outcome, but adding blood biomarkers to the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) did not significantly improve its discriminatory ability. We investigated the association of the CHA2DS2-VASc score with unfavourable functional outcome (defined as a 30-day modified Rankin Scale [mRS] ≥ 3) in patients presenting with acute ischemic stroke (AIS), and examined whether the addition of blood biomarkers (troponin I [TnI], fibrinogen, C-reactive protein [CRP]) affects the model discriminatory ability.

methodsWe conducted an observational single-centre study of consecutive patients with AIS. All patients were admitted to hospital within 24 hours from the neurological symptoms onset.

resultsOf 240 patients (mean age 70.0 ± 8.9 years), unfavourable 30-day outcome occurred in 92 (38.3%). Patients with mRS ≥ 3 were older and more likely to have atrial fibrillation or other comorbidities (all p<0.001). They had higher levels of CRP, fibrinogen, TnI and higher CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2 scores (all p<0.05). The adjusted CHA2DS2-VASc score had excellent predictive ability for poor stroke outcome (c-statistic 0.982;95%CI,0.964-1.000, p<0.001). Whilst CRP had the highest sensitivity (83.7%), cardiac TnI was the most specific (97.3%) for prediction of poor stroke outcome (cut-off: >0.09 µg/L). Compared with each of these biomarkers, CHA2DS2-VASc score had significantly better predictive ability for poor stroke outcome (c-statistic for CRP, Fibrinogen and TnI was 0.853;95%CI,0.802-0.895, 0.848;95%CI,0.796-0.891, and 0.792;95%CI,0.736-0.842, all p<0.001, respectively, versus 0.932;95%CI,0.892-0.960, p<0.001 for the CHA2DS2-VASc, all p for the comparisons<0.01). There was no significant difference in the predictive ability of the CHA2DS2-VASc score vs. combinations of the CHA2DS2-VASc and TnI or TnI, fibrinogen and CRP (z statistic 0.369, p = 0.7119; integrated discrimination index 0.00801 and 0.00172, respectively, both p>0.05).

conclusionsThe CHA2DS2-VASc score alone reliably predicts 30-day unfavourable outcome of stroke. Adding blood biomarkers to the CHA2DS2-VASc score did not significantly increase the predictive ability of the model.

Indexed as

AgedC-Reactive ProteinFemaleFibrinogenHumansIschemiaMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRisk FactorsStrokeTreatment OutcomeTroponin IUnited StatesC-Reactive ProteinFibrinogenTroponin I

Identifiers

PMID25184809
PMCPMC4153640

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.