Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25171970›Full record

Trial reportInternational journal of cardiology2014

The prevalence of aortic stenosis in the elderly in Iceland and predictions for the coming decades: the AGES-Reykjavík study.

Ragnar Danielsen, Thor Aspelund, Tamara B Harris, Vilmundur Gudnason

Open access · greenAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in International journal of cardiology, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 85 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
85citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
3.6field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

85 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 160 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Trends and Projections for Aortic Stenosis and Hypertension-Related Mortality Among Older Adults in the United States: A Retrospective Population-Based Analysis.High blood pressure & cardiovascular prevention : the official journal of the Italian Society of Hypertension · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Familial Hypercholesterolemia.Methodist DeBakey cardiovascular journal · 2026
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Review

25 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Ragnar DanielsenThe Department of Cardiology, Landspitali, University Hospital, Reykjavík, Iceland. Electronic address: ragnarda@landspitali.is.
Thor AspelundThe Icelandic Heart Association Research Institute, Kópavogur, Iceland; The University of Iceland, Reykjavík, Iceland.
Tamara B HarrisLaboratory of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, National Institute on Aging, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Vilmundur GudnasonThe Icelandic Heart Association Research Institute, Kópavogur, Iceland; The University of Iceland, Reykjavík, Iceland.
Icelandic Heart Association · ISNational Institute on Aging · USReykjavík University · IS

Funding

CLINICAL PROJECT: Age, Gene/Environment Susceptibility Study on the Multi-omics of Aging: A clinical epidemiologic prospective studyZIAAG007380 · NIA · NATIONAL INSTITUTE ON AGING · PI LAUNER, LENORE J · 2009 to 2025
$6.1M
AGES STUDY-THE REYKJAVIK STUDY OF HEALTHY AGING FOR THE NEW MILLENNIUM-26012100N01AG012100 · NIA · ICELANDIC HEART ASSOCIATION · 2002 to 2004
–
Intramural NIH HHS ZIA AG007380NIA NIH HHS N01-AG-1-2100
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsTo evaluate the prevalence of significant aortic valve stenosis (AS) in a randomly selected study population of elderly individuals representing the general population of Iceland. Furthermore, to predict the number of individuals likely to have severe AS in the future. METHODS AND

resultsEchocardiography and computed tomography (CT) data from individuals who participated in the AGES-Reykjavik study were used. Echocardiography data from 685 individuals (58% females) aged 67-95 years were available. In both sexes combined, the prevalence for severe AS, defined as an aortic valve area index of <0.6 cm2/m2, in the age groups<70, 70-79 and ≥80 years was 0.92%, 2.4% and 7.3%, respectively. A ROC analysis on the relation between the echocardiography data and the aortic valve calcium score on CT defined a score≥500 to be indicative of severe AS. Subsequently, in a CT study cohort of 5256 individuals the prevalence of severe AS in the same age groups was 0.80%, 4.0% and 9.5%, respectively. Overall, the prevalence of severe AS by echocardiography and CT in individuals≥70 years was 4.3% and 5.9%, respectively. A prediction on the number of elderly≥70 years for the coming decades demonstrated that patients with severe AS will have increased 2.4 fold by the year 2040 and will more than triple by the year 2060.

conclusionThis study, in a cohort of elderly individuals representative of the general population in a Nordic country, predicts that AS will be a large health problem in the coming decades.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAgingAortic Valve StenosisCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIcelandMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrevalenceProspective StudiesAortic valve stenosisElderlyEpidemiologyFuture predictionPrevalence

Identifiers

PMID25171970
PMCPMC4742571
OpenAlexW1992419135

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.