Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25157958›Full record

ArticlePloS one2014

Modeling the potential impact of host population survival on the evolution of M. tuberculosis latency.

Nibiao Zheng, Christopher C Whalen, Andreas Handel

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 24% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Ecology and evolution of Mycobacterium tuberculosis.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2018
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Nibiao ZhengInstitute of Bioinformatics, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, United States of America.
Christopher C WhalenDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, United States of America.
Andreas HandelDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, United States of America.
University of Georgia · US

Funding

Community Transmission of Tuberculosis Urban AfricaR01AI093856 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF GEORGIA · PI WHALEN, CHRISTOPHER C. · 2012 to 2021
$5.7M
Uganda HIV/TB COHRE Training ProgramU2RTW006900 · FIC · UNIVERSITY OF GEORGIA · PI WHALEN, CHRISTOPHER C. · 2004 to 2013
$2.2M
FIC NIH HHS TW006900NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI093856
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious disease with a peculiar feature: Upon infection with the causative agent, Mycobacterium Tuberculosis (MTB), most hosts enter a latent state during which no transmission of MTB to new hosts occurs. Only a fraction of latently infected hosts develop TB disease and can potentially infect new hosts. At first glance, this seems like a waste of transmission potential and therefore an evolutionary suboptimal strategy for MTB. It might be that the human immune response keeps MTB in check in most hosts, thereby preventing it from achieving its evolutionary optimum. Another possible explanation is that long latency and progression to disease in only a fraction of hosts are evolutionary beneficial to MTB by allowing it to persist better in small host populations. Given that MTB has co-evolved with human hosts for millenia or longer, it likely encountered small host populations for a large share of its evolutionary history and had to evolve strategies of persistence. Here, we use a mathematical model to show that indeed, MTB persistence is optimal for an intermediate duration of latency and level of activation. The predicted optimal level of activation is above the observed value, suggesting that human co-evolution has lead to host immunity, which keeps MTB below its evolutionary optimum.

Indexed as

Biological EvolutionHumansLatent TuberculosisModels, BiologicalMycobacterium tuberculosisStochastic Processes

Identifiers

PMID25157958
PMCPMC4144956
OpenAlexW2028377166

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.