Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25148521›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental science & technology2014

Nitrate variability in groundwater of North Carolina using monitoring and private well data models.

Kyle P Messier, Evan Kane, Rick Bolich, Marc L Serre

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental science & technology, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. A review of geospatial exposure models and approaches for health data integration.Journal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology · 2025
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Seasonal Variation of Water Quality in Unregulated Domestic Wells.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Drinking Water Nitrate and Human Health: An Updated Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2018
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Kyle P MessierDepartment of Environmental Science and Engineering, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina , Chapel Hill, North Carolina 27599, United States.
Evan Kane
Rick Bolich
Marc L Serre

Funding

UNC-CH CENTER FOR ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH &SUSCEPTIBILITYP30ES010126 · NIEHS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Melissa A. Troester · 2001 to 2026
$36.3M
Biostatstics for Research in Environmental HealthT32ES007018 · NIEHS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Stephanie Engel, Rebecca Fry · 1985 to 2026
$31.3M
Occupational Safety and Health and Education Research CenterT42OH008673 · OH · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI NYLANDER-FRENCH, LEENA A · 2005 to 2025
$27.3M
NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES010126NIEHS NIH HHS T32ES007018NIOSH CDC HHS 2T42OH008673NIOSH CDC HHS T42 OH008673
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Nitrate (NO3-) is a widespread contaminant of groundwater and surface water across the United States that has deleterious effects to human and ecological health. This study develops a model for predicting point-level groundwater NO3- at a state scale for monitoring wells and private wells of North Carolina. A land use regression (LUR) model selection procedure is developed for determining nonlinear model explanatory variables when they are known to be correlated. Bayesian Maximum Entropy (BME) is used to integrate the LUR model to create a LUR-BME model of spatial/temporal varying groundwater NO3- concentrations. LUR-BME results in a leave-one-out cross-validation r2 of 0.74 and 0.33 for monitoring and private wells, effectively predicting within spatial covariance ranges. Results show significant differences in the spatial distribution of groundwater NO3- contamination in monitoring versus private wells; high NO3- concentrations in the southeastern plains of North Carolina; and wastewater treatment residuals and swine confined animal feeding operations as local sources of NO3- in monitoring wells. Results are of interest to agencies that regulate drinking water sources or monitor health outcomes from ingestion of drinking water. Lastly, LUR-BME model estimates can be integrated into surface water models for more accurate management of nonpoint sources of nitrogen.

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalAnimalsBayes TheoremEntropyEnvironmental MonitoringGroundwaterHumansNitratesNonlinear DynamicsNorth CarolinaRegression AnalysisReproducibility of ResultsSwineTime FactorsWater Pollutants, ChemicalNitratesWater Pollutants, Chemical

Identifiers

PMID25148521
PMCPMC4165464

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.