Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25136967›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of cancer2015

Age-stratified 5-year risks of cervical precancer among women with enrollment and newly detected HPV infection.

Julia C Gage, Hormuzd A Katki, Mark Schiffman, Barbara Fetterman, Nancy E Poitras, Thomas Lorey, Li C Cheung, Philip E Castle, Walter K Kinney

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of cancer, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Julia C GageDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, DHHS, Bethesda, MD.
Hormuzd A Katki
Mark Schiffman
Barbara Fetterman
Nancy E Poitras
Thomas Lorey
Li C Cheung
Philip E Castle
Walter K Kinney

Funding

Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Natural History, Genomics and Risk AssessmentZIACP010206 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI SCHIFFMAN, MARK · 2010 to 2025
$17.1M
Intramural NIH HHS Z99 CA999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

It is unclear whether a woman's age influences her risk of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or worse (CIN3+) upon detection of HPV. A large change in risk as women age would influence vaccination and screening policies. Among 972,029 women age 30-64 undergoing screening with Pap and HPV testing (Hybrid Capture 2, Qiagen, Germantown, MD) at Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC), we calculated age-specific 5-year CIN3+ risks among women with HPV infections detected at enrollment, and among women with "newly detected" HPV infections at their second screening visit. Women (57,899, 6.0%) had an enrollment HPV infection. Among the women testing HPV negative at enrollment with a second screening visit, 16,724 (3.3%) had a newly detected HPV infection at their second visit. Both enrollment and newly detected HPV rates declined with age (p < 0.001). Women with enrollment versus newly detected HPV infection had higher 5-year CIN3+ risks: 8.5% versus 3.9%, (p < 0.0001). Risks did not increase with age but declined slightly from 30-34 years to 60-64 years: 9.4% versus 7.4% (p = 0.017) for enrollment HPV and 5.1% versus 3.5% (p = 0.014) for newly detected HPV. Among women age 30-64 in an established screening program, women with newly detected HPV infections were at lower risk than women with enrollment infections, suggesting reduced benefit vaccinating women at older ages. Although the rates of HPV infection declined dramatically with age, the subsequent CIN3+ risks associated with HPV infection declined only slightly. The CIN3+ risks among older women are sufficiently elevated to warrant continued screening through age 65.

Indexed as

Precancerous ConditionsAdultAge FactorsAlphapapillomavirusCohort StudiesEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansMass ScreeningMiddle AgedNeoplasm GradingPapanicolaou TestPapillomavirus InfectionsRiskUterine Cervical DysplasiaUterine Cervical Neoplasmsagecancer preventioncervical intraepithelial neoplasiacytologyHuman Papillomavirushybrid capture 2

Identifiers

PMID25136967
PMCPMC4314342

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.