Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25117844›Full record

ArticleAddictive behaviors2014

Curiosity predicts smoking experimentation independent of susceptibility in a US national sample.

Jesse Nodora, Sheri J Hartman, David R Strong, Karen Messer, Lisa E Vera, Martha M White, David B Portnoy, Conrad J Choiniere, Genevieve C Vullo, John P Pierce

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Addictive behaviors, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 62 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
62citing papers in PubMed
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

62 citing papers in PubMed, 87 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Effects of Modified Risk Tobacco Product Claims on Consumer Responses.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2024
    Trial
  2. Tobacco Advertising Features That May Contribute to Product Appeal Among US Adolescents and Young Adults.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2021
    Trial
  3. Optimizing Warnings on E-Cigarette Advertisements.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2020
    Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Counteracting the Influence of Peer Smoking on YouTube.Journal of health communication · 2017
    Trial
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Policy influences on adolescent risk perceptions of vaping.Journal of epidemiology and community health · 2025
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  15. The New Zealand drug harms ranking study: A multi-criteria decision analysis.Journal of psychopharmacology (Oxford, England) · 2023
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Hierarchical Modeling of Psychosocial, Parental, and Environmental Factors for Susceptibility to Tobacco Product Use in 9-10-Year-Old Children.The Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine · 2023
    Article
  18. Article
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2 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Jesse NodoraCancer Prevention and Control Program, Moores UCSD Cancer Center, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States; Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of California, San Diego, United States.
Sheri J HartmanCancer Prevention and Control Program, Moores UCSD Cancer Center, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States; Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of California, San Diego, United States.
David R StrongCancer Prevention and Control Program, Moores UCSD Cancer Center, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States; Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of California, San Diego, United States.
Karen MesserCancer Prevention and Control Program, Moores UCSD Cancer Center, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States; Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of California, San Diego, United States.
Lisa E VeraCancer Prevention and Control Program, Moores UCSD Cancer Center, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States; Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of California, San Diego, United States.
Martha M WhiteCancer Prevention and Control Program, Moores UCSD Cancer Center, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States; Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of California, San Diego, United States.
David B PortnoyCenter for Tobacco Products, US Food and Drug Administration, Rockville, MD, United States.
Conrad J ChoiniereCenter for Tobacco Products, US Food and Drug Administration, Rockville, MD, United States.
Genevieve C VulloKelly Government Solutions, Bethesda, MD, United States.
John P PierceCancer Prevention and Control Program, Moores UCSD Cancer Center, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States; Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of California, San Diego, United States. Electronic address: jppierce@ucsd.edu.
University of California, San Diego · USUnited States Food and Drug Administration · USKelly Services (United States) · US

Funding

VIRAL MALIGNANCYP30CA023100 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI Jesse Nodora · 1985 to 2026
$124.9M
Parenting To Prevent Problem BehaviorsR01CA093982 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SAN DIEGO · PI PIERCE, JOHN P · 2002 to 2005
$4.8M
Physical Activity and neuropsychological outcomes in a cancer populationK07CA181323 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI HARTMAN, SHERI J · 2014 to 2018
$852k
Population studies of cigarette smoking, other tobacco use, and lung cancerR01CA172058 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI MESSER, KAREN · 2013 to 2015
$601k
NCI NIH HHS 1R01CA172058-01NCI NIH HHS CA093982NCI NIH HHS K07 CA181323NCI NIH HHS P30 CA023100NCI NIH HHS R01 CA093982NCI NIH HHS R01 CA172058NIDA NIH HHS HHSN271201100027CPHS HHS 21RT-01335
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo improve smoking prevention efforts, better methods for identifying at-risk youth are needed. The widely used measure of susceptibility to smoking identifies at-risk adolescents; however, it correctly identifies only about one third of future smokers. Adding curiosity about smoking to this susceptibility index may allow us to identify a greater proportion of future smokers while they are still pre-teens.

methodsWe use longitudinal data from a recent national study on parenting to prevent problem behaviors. Only oldest children between 10 and 13years of age were eligible. Participants were identified by RDD survey and followed for 6years. All baseline never smokers with at least one follow-up assessment were included (n=878). The association of curiosity about smoking with future smoking behavior was assessed. Then, curiosity was added to form an enhanced susceptibility index and sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value were calculated.

resultsAmong committed never smokers at baseline, those who were 'definitely not curious' were less likely to progress toward smoking than both those who were 'probably not curious' (ORadj=1.89; 95% CI=1.03-3.47) or 'probably/definitely curious' (ORadj=2.88; 95% CI=1.11-7.45). Incorporating curiosity into the susceptibility index increased the proportion identified as at-risk to smoke from 25.1% to 46.9%. The sensitivity (true positives) for this enhanced susceptibility index for both experimentation and established smoking increased from 37-40% to over 50%, although the positive predictive value did not improve.

conclusionThe addition of curiosity significantly improves the identification and classification of which adolescents will experiment with smoking or become established smokers.

Indexed as

Exploratory BehaviorAdolescentAdolescent BehaviorChildFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleOdds RatioPopulation SurveillanceRisk FactorsSmokingUnited StatesAdolescent smokingCuriositySmoking experimentationSusceptibility to smoking

Identifiers

PMID25117844
PMCPMC4183504
OpenAlexW2002956744

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.