Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25113767›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology2014

Impact of informative censoring on the Kaplan-Meier estimate of progression-free survival in phase II clinical trials.

Federico Campigotto, Edie Weller

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
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  10. An updated estimate of posttransplant survival after implementation of the new donor heart allocation policy.American journal of transplantation : official journal of the American Society of Transplantation and the American Society of Transplant Surgeons · 2022
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. BrandJournal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2020
    Article
  15. Is it too early to investigate survival outcomes of the new US heart allocation system?The Journal of heart and lung transplantation : the official publication of the International Society for Heart Transplantation · 2020
    Article
  16. Observational
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Federico Campigotto
Edie Weller

Funding

Trageting the Multiple Myeloma EpigenomeP50CA100707 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INSTITUTE · PI ANDERSON, KENNETH C., MUNSHI, NIKHIL C. · 2003 to 2023
$45.0M
Targeting Genomic Instability and Evolution in MyelomaP01CA155258 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI Jill Corre · 2011 to 2026
$32.5M
Targeting Myeloma Cell-Host Bone Marrow InteractionsP01CA078378 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INSTITUTE · PI RITZ, JEROME · 1998 to 2014
$26.2M
Role of Cytokines in Myeloma PathogenesisR01CA050947 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INSTITUTE · PI ANDERSON, KENNETH C., MITSIADES, CONSTANTINE S. · 1991 to 2018
$5.1M
NCI NIH HHS 5P01CA078378NCI NIH HHS 5P50 CA100707NCI NIH HHS P01 CA078378NCI NIH HHS P01 CA155258NCI NIH HHS P50 CA100707NCI NIH HHS R01 CA050947
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Informative censoring in a progression-free survival (PFS) analysis arises when patients are censored for initiation of an effective anticancer treatment before the protocol-defined progression, and these patients are at a different risk for treatment failure than those who continue on therapy. This may cause bias in the estimated PFS when using the Kaplan-Meier method for analysis. Although there are several articles that discuss this issue from a theoretical perspective or in randomized phase III studies, there are little data to demonstrate the magnitude of the bias on the estimated quantities from a phase II trial. This article describes the issues by using two oncology phase II trials as examples, evaluates the impact of the bias using simulations, and provides recommendations. The two trials were selected because they demonstrate two different reasons for censoring. Simulations show that the magnitude of the bias depends primarily on the proportion of patients who are informatively censored and secondarily on the hazard ratio between the group of patients who remain on study and the group of patients who are informatively censored. Recommendations include using an alternative end point, which includes inadequate response and initial signs of clinical progression as treatment failure, and a competing risk analysis for studies in which competing events preclude or modify the probability of observing the primary event of interest. If informative censoring cannot be avoided, then all patients should be observed until progression, and sensitivity analyses should be used as appropriate.

Indexed as

BiasClinical Trials, Phase II as TopicDisease-Free SurvivalKaplan-Meier EstimateHumansNeoplasmsResearch Design

Identifiers

PMID25113767
PMCPMC4162501

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.