Evidence map›Paper›PMID 25099997›Full record

ArticleBMC cardiovascular disorders2014

Using the LACE index to predict hospital readmissions in congestive heart failure patients.

Hao Wang, Richard D Robinson, Carlos Johnson, Nestor R Zenarosa, Rani D Jayswal, Joshua Keithley, Kathleen A Delaney

2 registry-linked trialsAbstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cardiovascular disorders, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 42 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
42citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02752997 nacompletednot on this mapstarted 2015, after this paper: background citation

Reducing 30-day Readmissions in Patients With Heart Failure Through Pharmacist Discharge Medication Services

TypeinterventionalSponsorMayo ClinicRan2015 to 2016Enrolled24ConditionsHeart Failure, Patient ReadmissionArmsPharmacist discharge medication services
NCT05765903 nawithdrawnnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

Readmission Risk Score (RecuR Score) Pilot at The University of Maryland Charles Regional Medical Center (UM CRMC)

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of Maryland, BaltimoreRan2024 to 2026Enrolled0ConditionsPatient Readmission, Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive, Heart Failure, Diabetes Mellitus Poor ControlArmsStandard of Care, Enhanced Care
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

42 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  19. Specialty-Specific Readmission Risk Models Outperform General Models in Estimating Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery Readmission Risk.Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Hao WangDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Integrative Emergency Service, John Peter Smith Health Network, 1500 S, Main St, 76104 Fort Worth, TX, USA. hwang01@jpshealth.org.
Richard D Robinson
Carlos Johnson
Nestor R Zenarosa
Rani D Jayswal
Joshua Keithley
Kathleen A Delaney

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe LACE index has been used to predict the risk of unplanned readmission within 30 days after hospital discharge in both medical and surgical patients. The aim of this study is to validate the accuracy of using the LACE index in CHF patients.

methodsThis was a retrospective study. The LACE index score was calculated on each patient who was admitted to hospital due to an acute CHF exacerbation. Operational and clinical variables were collected from patients including basic clinical characteristics, length of hospitalization, comorbidities, number of previous ED visits in the past 6 months before the index admission, and the number of post discharge ED revisits at 30, 60, and 90 days. All variables were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression to determine the association between clinical variables and the hospital unplanned readmissions. C-statistic was used to discriminate those patients with high risk of readmissions.

resultsOf the 253 patients included in the study, 24.50% (62/253) experienced unplanned readmission to hospital within 30 days after discharge. The LACE index was slightly higher in patients readmitted versus patients not readmitted (12.17 ± 2.22 versus 11.80 ± 1.92, p = 0.199). Adjusted odds ratios based on logistic regression of all clinical variables showed only the number of previous ED visits (OR 1.79, 95% CI 1.30-2.47, p < 0.001), history of myocardial infarction (OR 2.51, 95% CI 1.02-6.21, p = 0.045), and history of peripheral vascular disease (OR 10.75, 95% CI 1.52-75.73, p = 0.017) increased the risk of unplanned readmission within 30 days of hospital discharge. However, patients with high LACE scores (≥10) had a significantly higher rate of ED revisits (15.04% vs 0%) within 30 days from the index discharge than those with low LACE scores (p = 0.030).

conclusionThe LACE index may not accurately predict unplanned readmissions within 30 days from hospital discharge in CHF patients. The LACE high risk index may have utility as a screening tool to predict high risk ED revisits after hospital discharge.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesPatient ReadmissionAgedChi-Square DistributionComorbidityEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHeart FailureHumansLength of StayLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedMultivariate AnalysisMyocardial InfarctionOdds Ratio

Identifiers

PMID25099997
PMCPMC4128541

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.